Thursday, October 30, 2025

Doggy's UConn/Louisville Pregame Report

                                               

      
  

No. 1 UConn Huskies               VS              No. 20 Louisville
     0-0                                                                     0-0

Tuesday November 4th, 2025.
Alumni Hall
Annapolis, MD 
5:30 PM
TV: ESPN

Prior Meetings
 
UCONN LEADS 19-3 
Home: 9-1 | Away: 4-1 | Neutral: 6-1 

03/17/93 Louisville 74, UConn 71 Storrs, Conn. 
01/31/06 #4 UConn 75, Louisville 68 Louisville, Ky. 
02/13/07 #5 UConn 84, #20 Louisville 56 Storrs, Conn. 
03/05/07 #2 UConn 76, #23 Louisville 50 Hartford, Conn. 
01/12/08 #1 UConn 92, Louisville 71 Louisville, Ky. 
03/11/08 #1 UConn 65, #23 Louisville 59 Hartford, Conn. 
01/26/09 #1 UConn 93, #6 Louisville 65 Storrs, Conn. 
03/10/09 #1 UConn 75, #5 Louisville 36 Hartford, Conn. 
04/07/09 #1 UConn 76, #7 Louisville 54 St. Louis, Mo. 
02/07/10 #1 UConn 84, Louisville 38 Louisville, Ky. 
01/15/11 #2 UConn 78, Louisville 55 Hartford, Conn. 
02/07/12 #3 UConn 56, #20 Louisville 46 Louisville, Ky. 
01/15/13 #3 UConn 72, #15 Louisville 58 Hartford, Conn. 
04/09/13 #3 UConn 93, #17 Louisville 60 New Orleans, La. 
02/09/14 #1 UConn 81, #4 Louisville 64 Storrs, Conn. 
03/03/14 #1 UConn 68, #3 Louisville 48 Louisville, Ky. 
03/10/14 #1 UConn 72, #3 Louisville 52 Uncasville, Conn. 
02/12/18 #1 UConn 69, #4 Louisville 58 Storrs, Conn. 
01/31/19 #3 Louisville 78, #2 UConn 69 Louisville, Ky. 
03/31/19 #2 UConn 80, #5 Louisville 72 Albany, N.Y. 
12/19/21 #6 Louisville 69, #7 UConn 64 Uncasville, Conn.
12/16/23 #17 UConn 86, #18 Louisville 62 Hartford, Conn.
12/7/24 #2 UConn 85 #22 Louiville 52 New York, NY
 
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Louisville Season to Date

First game of the season, so I thought I would just recap their 2024-25 season. 

Considered one of the youngest teams Coach Walz has had in his nearly two decades at Louisville, the Cardinals were still able to win 20 games for their 15th consecutive season. But it was a struggle for the Cards. 

Seven freshman saw minutes, four averaged 10+ MPG. In their season ending loss to TCU the freshman totaled 61 minutes. You would think that experience would help them in the 2025-26 season. Six of the seven freshman are returning this year.

Winning 20 games was a positive but losing in the second round in the tournament had to a disappointment for Coach Walz.           

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Louisville


Louisville Starters

Game Analysis

Well, this is close to an impossible task. Louisville has no exhibition games to analyze. A ton of new players. UConn, on the other hand, is easy. Two exhibition games, lots of articles, a ton of returning players makes is easy to figure things like starting lineup and strategies.   

I'll take my best shot at Louisvile.

Tajianna Roberts a 5'10" sophomore guard is the leading returning scorer and the only returning starter. She clearly has no fear as she scored 21 points in her first game last season and it was against at the time No. 1 UCLA. A five star prospect, she was ranked 24th by ESPN Hoopgurlz. She shot the most three pointers but only hit them at 31%. 

Laura Ziegler, a 6'2" forward that transferred in from Saint Joseph's, will crash the starting lineup. She is pre-season All-ACC along with her teammate Tajianna Roberts. At SJU she led the Hawks with 17,5 PPG, 10.4 PPG and 4.3 APG. She was a finalist for the Becky Hammon Mid-Major Player of the Year award last season at Saint Joseph's. A terrific player who is stepping up in competition in the ACC.

Reyna Scott is a 5'10" senior transfer guard from Oklahoma. She started 16 games for the Sooners, She started in the UConn/Oklahoma Elite Eight game playing 21 minutes and scoring 8 points, handing out 6 assists and had 2 steals. A nice game. She should be starting for this Louisville team at point guard.    

MacKenly Randolph is a 6' sophomore forward. Her claim to fame is she is the daughter of NBA great Zach Randoph. She only averaged 13 MPG as a player off the bench before starting late in the season. I'm guessing she might start this season.

Highly regarded sophomore, 5'10" Amari Berry was a McDonald's AA and the 19th ranked players in her HS class. She led the team in three point shooting last season at 36%. She averaged only 12 MPG but expectations are high for her.

The third transfer is Skylar Jones, a 6' junior guard from Arizona. She started the majority of their games. She averaged 10.7 points, three rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.6 steals per game for the Wildcats.      

6'3" sophomore forward, Elif Istanbulluoglu was the only big off the bench last year. Will she start this season? Time will tell. 

Coach Walz has turned Louisville into a clone of South Florida with so many foriegn players.  

Ziegler is from Denmark, Elif Istanbullouglu is from Turkey, Yevhenuua Putra, a 6'3" freshman forward is from Ukraine, Isla Juffermans is a 6'4" freshman forward from Australia.

Walz isn't shy about what this group is trying to do: play faster, play freer, and win bigger games.

"I hope we're going to be deeper," he said. "We've got players who understand what we're trying to do. That means we don't have to slow things down."

"We've built a culture on expectations of going hard each day," Walz said. "We've really worked hard to find players who understand you have to earn things — nothing is given. We want good-character players who believe in that. And I think our success speaks for itself."

The UConn/Louisville game last year was a blowout in the Huskies' favor. UConn won 85-52 at the Barcley Center behind 21 points and 8 rebounds from Sarah Strong, 18 points on 4-7 from deep for Azzi Fudd and 8 points, 10 reboundes and 6 assists from Paige Bueckers.

LIke I said, I haven't seen them play. If you want to get a feel for how Louisville approaches the game here is a hightlight video of last year's game.


Final Prediction


Sorry Louisville. This game will get ugly. Louisville has so many new players that have to contribute to have any chance of being successful. And with no exhibition games to warm up, playing UConn in your first real game is problematical. The Huskies are way more talented than this Louisville squad.

Louisville goes only 5'10", 5'10", 5'10", 6' and 6'2" over their starting lineup. Their bigs come off the bench and are all sophomores and freshman other than one 6'3" junior forward. It's doubtful they can handle Strong and Williams.  

UConn's defense will dominate this game. I'd look for 15-20 turnovers for Louisville and several blocked shots by the Huskies.

Geno will focus on a solid 8-9 player rotation, maybe even more, until the UConn pulls away and then bring in the bench. 

Can't wait to see the game! 

UConn by 26+.   

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Doggy's UConn/South Carolina NCAA Championship Game

 



 

                                                      
            2 Seed                                                                1 Seed               
      UConn Huskies                                  South Carolina Gamecocks
            36-3                                                                    35-3

 Sunday April 6th , 2025
3:00 PM  
Amelia Arena
Tampa, Florida 
ESPN


SOUTH CAROLINA | UCONN 
UCONN LEADS 10-5 
H: 5-1 | A: 4-2 | N: 1-2 

12/17/07 #2 UConn 97, USC 39 Storrs, Conn. 
12/28/08 #1 UConn 77, USC 48 Columbia, S.C. 
02/09/15 #2 UConn 87, #1 USC 62 Storrs, Conn. 
02/08/16 #1 UConn 66, #2 USC 54 Columbia, S.C. 
02/13/17 #1 UConn 66, #6 USC 55 Storrs, Conn. 
02/01/18 #1 UConn 83, #7 USC 58 Columbia, S.C. 
03/26/18 #1 UConn 94, #7 USC 65 Albany, N.Y. 
02/11/19 #4 UConn 97, #11 USC 79 Hartford, Conn. 
02/10/20 #1 USC 70, #5 UConn 52 Columbia, S.C. 
02/08/21 #2 UConn 63, #1 USC 59 (OT) Storrs, Conn.
11/22/21 #2 UConn 57, #1 USC 73 Paridise Island, Bahamas
04/03/22 #1 USC 64, #5 UConn 49 Minneapolis, Minn.
2/4/23 #1 USC 81, #5 UConn 77 Hartford, Conn. 
02/11/24 #1 USC 83, #11 UConn 65 Columbia, S.C.
02/16/24 #4 USC 58, #7 UConn 87 Columbia, S.C.

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    Comparative Team Statistics

                                            UConn                                 South Carolina

                                              81.7         PPG                            79.7
                                              52.0        Defensive PPG             57.4
                                              29.7        Scoring Margin            22.3
                                              51.0        Field Goal %                46.8
                                              34.7        Defensive FG%            35.3 
                                              38.4        Three Point %              34.2
                                              28.8        Defensive 3PT%           29.4
                                              74.6        Free Throw %              76.1
                                              36.9        Rebounds/game            42.1
                                                5.8        Rebounding Margin      7.9 
                                              20.9        Assists per game           16.5
                                              10.6        Turnover per game       12.4
                                                1.5        Assists/TO ratio             1.5
                                              10.2        Steals per game             9.2
                                                4.1        Blocks per game            5.8  
                                                 
 UCONN 


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Game Analysis

6'2" junior forward Chloe Kitts is a real key for the Gamecocks. The highest scoring starters, she is averaging 10.2 PPG and 7.8 RPG. She is aggressive on the boards and on defense. One word I would use is intense for her attitude. She leads the team in offensive rebounds with 105.  She had 6 points and 5 rebounds in the first UConn game in 21 minutes.

Te-Hina Paopao is a 5'9" senior guard. She is fourth on the team in scoring at 9.6 PPG and has a terrific Assist/Turnover ratio with 110/46 as the second point guard on the floor. She is shooting a solid 37.6% on threes but her knack is hitting the big three pointer. She struggled with that in the first UConn game scoring ten points and only going 2-6 on threes in 29 minutes.   

Bree Hall, a 6' senior guard, was valuable off the bench last season and has been starting all year. Her scoring is down this year as she is averaging 6.4 PPG and while she doesn't score a lot she is a terrific and clutch three point shooter at 38.9%. Not a great ball handler, like many South Carolina players, it's her defense that gets her minutes. She had 7 points and 5 rebounds in 29 minutes against UConn in their first matchup. 

5'8" RS junior Raven Johnson is a talented player. She is second on the team with 107 assists and only 39 turnovers. Her issue is scoring. She is averaging 4.9 PPG and is shooting threes at 29.5% although she only takes 2 per game. She leads the team in steals with 1.4 per game.  She was scoreless in 24 minutes with 4 rebounds and 3 assists against UConn in the first matchup. 

Sania Feagin is the "Big" for South Carolina since Watkins was injured. The 6'3" Senior forward is averaging 8.1 PPG and 4.6 RPG in only 19 MPG minutes. Those numbers are basically the same as last season. She leads the team in blocks with 1.5 BPG. They really needed more from her this year. She only played 13 minutes and had 4 points, 4 assists and zero blocks against UConn in the first game.   

As usual the bench is a big part of the South Carolina team. And for this version of the Gamecocks, the two leading scorers are young and talented.

Freshman Joyce Edwards, a 6'2" Forward, is the leading scorer on the team at 12.7 PPG and second in rebounding at 5.1 RPG. She has become the best player on the team. She is shooting 53.5% from the field.  She played 29 minutes in the first UConn game scoring 17 point and grabbing 5 rebounds. She added 2 blocks. 

Sophomore MiLaysia Fulwiley, a 5'10" firebrand guard is second on the team in scoring at 11.3 PPG. She loves to play with some flash. Behind the back moves, look away passes and long range threes. Also second on the team in steals. She is just fun to watch. But was flashy as she is, she has issues. She only shoots 42.4% from the field and 25.8% on threes. It's not only the low percentage, she sometimes picks the worst time to take the bad shot. In the first UConn game she had 11 points, 2  turnover and 0 assists in 17 minutes. . 

The third bench player that will see time in this game is 6' sophomore guard Tessa Johnson. She plays 21 MPG and averages 8.3 PPG. She is shooting 44-103 on threes, 42.7%. She had one of the worst games of her young career against UConn in the first matchup. She was scoreless going 0-4 on threes, her only shots. She had 1 assists and 1 turnover.    

They played Maryam Dauda, a 6'4" Junior forward, sixteen minutes against Texas. After averaging only 6 MPG on the season. I'm not sure why Dawn did this before the UConn game. Will she see minutes in this one?    

Any way you look at it, Dawn is most likely only playing 8 players against UConn with significant minutes.

Ok. That's a writeup on the players. So how will this game play out?

I'm starting with what Geno said when talking about playing them again. He said he was the only one not happy about winning by 29 points in the first matchup. He knew they would be playing again. And here we are. I agree with him that you have to completely drop the first game when analyzing this game. Certainly South Carolina has to improve on a few things to make a game of it. 

The Gamecocks have to play better defense. The Huskies had several back door layups. Just some lazy defense by SC. 

They also have to get back quicker on defense and slow down the Huskies attack. I'm not sure they have the players to do that. 

They have to shoot better, mostly three pointers. The Gamecocks were 3-17 in the first matchup. Against Texasm they were 7-11 on threes, with PaoPao going 3-4. They need that type of performance.

It was shocking to see how UConn dominated the boards in that first matchup 48-29. Crazy. The Gamecocks will have to do much better.

All that being said, you know that Dawn will have her team foaming at the mouth. Their effort will be supreme. It will be up to the Huskies to match that intensity and bring the game to them. 

Matchup wise, UConn really does have several advantages.The top 3 scorer for UConn vs the top 3 scorer for South Carolina. It's not close. Bueckers, Strong and Fudd vs Kitts/PaoPao, Fulwiley and Edwards. 

If you are looking for a surprise player to make a difference, look for El Alfy to build on her effort against Betts with a terrific game against Feagin. 

UConn will do what they have done the last 15 games where the closest game was 14 against USC, 19 and 20 points against Creighton. Their average MOV was 83-50-23 points.   
 
All that being said......... 
Final Prediction

I just can't see this game being anything like the UConn/UCLA game or the first UConn/Sourh Carolina game. It's going to be a real battle. I can see the Gamecocks hitting a better percentage of their threes. And play the Huskies tough on the boards. But this game will be too much Paige, Azzi and Sarah. I'm not sure this version of South Carolina can handle UConn's offense and score enough against the great defense the Huskies are playing.  

Championship No. 12. 

UConn by 9+.