Thursday, January 23, 2025

Doggy's UConn/Creighton Pregame Report

 


                    

No. 6 UConn Huskies                              No. 21 Creighton Bluejays
18-2 (9-0)                                                           16-3 (8-0) 

Date: Saturday, January 25th, 2024
Time: 5:30 PM
Where: CHI Health Center
Omaha, Nebraska
TV: Fox 


0
CREIGHTON | UCONN LEADS 9-0 
H: 5-0 | A: 4-0 | N: 0-0 

11/23/14 #1 UConn 96, Creighton 60 Storrs, Conn. 
12/17/20 #3 UConn 80, Creighton 47 Storrs, Conn. 
02/25/21 #1 UConn 81, Creighton 49 Omaha, Neb.
01/09/22 #9 UConn 63, Creighton 55 Storrs, Conn.
02/02/21 #10 UConn 76, Creighton 56 Omaha, Neb.
12/28/22 #8 UConn 72, #21 Creighton 47 Omaha, Neb. 
02/15/23 #6 UConn 62, Creighton 60 Storrs, Conn
1/3/24 #12 UConn 90, Creighton 54 Omaha, Neb. 
02/19/24 #15 UConn 73, Creighton 53 Storrs, Conn

Creighton Season to Date

Creighton has been a great representative of the Big East, many times in the Top 25. They started the seasonat No. 21. After an early season loss in their first game to South Dakota State 76-71, the Bluejays dropped out of the poll. They also lost to at the time No. 10 Kansas State 86-68. They used an 8 game winning streak starting with a win over at the time No. 21 Nebraska 80-74 to return to and  hang around in the "receiving votes" area. But after the big loss to No. 1 UCLA 70-41 they dropped out of sight. 

The Bluejays immediately went on another winning streak, seven games, all in the conference before the upcoming UConn game. They beat St. John's 75-56, Butler twice 68-64 and 63-52, Providence 60-46, Marquette 71-68, Seton Hall 72-64 and DePaul 92-71.  
 
Right now they are only two spots outside the top 25 poll.   

Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                   Creighton  

                                              80.5        PPG                            74.0
                                              50.5        Defensive PPG            64.1
                                              29.6        Scoring Margin             9.9
                                              51.8        Field Goal %               45.6
                                              34.9        Defensive FG%           43.1 
                                              37.1        Three Point %             37.1
                                              30.1        Defensive 3PT%         30.9
                                              71.8        Free Throw %             79.9
                                              36.5        Rebounds/game           32.6
                                                6.1        Rebounding Margin     -2.4 
                                              21.7        Assists per game          17.1
                                              10.8        Turnover per game       11.1
                                                2.0        Assists/TO ratio             1.6
                                               11.3        Steals per game             7.6
                                                3.3        Blocks per game            2.7


     UCONN 








Creighton Starters





 


Game Analysis

Creighton has an incredibly experienced lineup. They have 7 returning players in their rotation of 7 players. Yes, everyone is back except one player. That is one huge loss. Second leading scorer from last year 6'1" forward Emma Ronsiek has transferred to Colorado State. 

They really haven't replaced her in the rotation as they only go seven deep as opposed to last year when they went eight deep with Ronsiek. The two off the bench will not add much to the box score. Unlike many Creighton teams of the past, who spread around the minutes and the points pretty evenly between their players, this year is really top heavy with Morgan Maley and Lauren Jenson. Their players used to live by the mantra "Depth is our strength". That is really not true this year. 

6'1" Senior (this is her Covid season) guard/forward Morgan Maly is the leading scorer averaging 17.9 PPG. Playing 29.6 MPG she is shooting 50.9% from the field and has taken the most three point shots with 103 and shooting then at blazing hot 47.5%. She leads the team in rebounding at 5.3 RPG. She is 36-41 on free throws.

5'10" Senior (also her Covid season) guard Lauren Jensen is playing 33.8 MPG, She is averaging 17.7 PPG. Last year she led the Bluejays in scoring. She has had an off season in shooting at only 45.1% but her 38.2% on threes is solid. She does take care of the ball leading the team with 79 assists and only 41 turnovers. To continue the theme, she is shooting 37-40 on free throws for 92.5%.    

5'7" Grad Student guard Molly Morensen averages 9.1 PPG in 29.1 MPG. She is a very good three point shooter at 38.5%. However, she only takes around 3 per game. She is second on  the team in assists with 75 and only has 31 turnovers. She doesn't get to the line much but is 22-25.    

6' Grad Student forward Mallory Brake  PLaing 28.5 MPG, she leads the team in steals with 32. To put that in perspective, UConn has 4 players with 31 or more. She is only averaging 5.1 PPG and 4.3 RPG. A good ball handler she has 37 assists and 16 turnovers. She is also second in blocks with 15.     

5'8" Junior guard Kiani Lockett is playing 29.1 MPG. She is the only new player in the starting lineup. Fourth on the team in scoring at 6.8 PPG she is one of the few poor three point shooters going 10-35 for 28.6%.  

Off the bench 5'10" Junior Kennedy Townson only plays 19.7 MPG, and is a good three point shooter in her limited time on the court. She is averaging 6.4 PPG and shooting a solid 21-56 for 37.5% on threes. 

5'10" grad student guard Jayme Horan gets the least minutes in the rotation at 15.5 MPG. She on shooting 31.5% on threes and averaging 4.8 PPG. 

So, how does this year's version of the Bluejays match up with this years UConn team? Geno mentioned how similar they are to Marquette in size and style. So the preparation for the Bluejays is also similar. 

This is a typical Bluejay on offense Creighton likes to pass the ball around the perimeter looking for an open three. They drive to the hoop, looking for the kickout for an open three as well. Players are also constantly running through the lane, screening and looking for open spaces. The Bluejays will occasionally make the pass into the lane if the cutting player is open. Fourty-one percent of their shots are three pointers. They are shooting them as well this season so far at 37.1% same as UConn and are a very dangerous team from the arc.

Their other method of scoring is off the fast break and they do run well when they get the chance. Defensively I didn't see any pressing, even after a made basket. However, I expect Creighton to press some if they can make a decent percentage of their shots. 

Creighton is strickly a man-man teams with plenty of switches. They will double in the post and they have to because of their lack of size. And their lack of size puts them at a real disadvantage in this game. They are even smaller than Marquette. 

UConn is going to use the same pressure defense hoping to turn defense into offense. That is not easy as Creighton is a very good ball handling team. This could be the difference in a close game or a blowout. 

Prediction

You'd think the home court for Creighton would be a difference make but looking at last year's scores, it doesn't help the Bluejays. They were blown out last year 94-50 in Omaha. And back in Storrs in the second game betweem them it was closer with the Huskies winning 73-53. For this game they moved to the larger arena. I'm not sure anyone on this Creighton team has ever players there. So I'm not sure what advantage it will be. New rims, new line of site to the basket. If there is a large audience, maybe that will inspire the Bluejays. Or intimidate them.   

I really like how this version of the Huskies are playing and I'm not convinced that Creighton is any better than last season. Probably worse. If Creighton gets hot from deep it could be a close game. Their only chance is outscoring UConn in a shoot out. That is a recipe for a blowout. Unless the Huskies go stone cold dead from the outside, I don't think the Bluejays have a shot to make a game of it.   

In spite of Massey having it an 11 points game, I see UConn by 27+.    

Monday, January 20, 2025

Doggy's UConn/Villanova Game Report II

                                                                          


        No. 6 UConn Huskies        VS               Villanova Wildcats
                  17-2 (8-0)                                                  10-9 (4-3)


Wednesday, January 22th, 7:00 PM
Gampel Pavilion
Storrs, CT
 
TV - SNY
Internet - Foxsports.com 

VILLANOVA vs UCONN 
UCONN LEADS 45-18 H: 20-7 | A: 20-8 | N: 5-3

01/22/00 #1 UConn 79, VU 46 Villanova, Pa. 
02/04/01 #2 UConn 75, #24 VU 39 Storrs, Conn. 
02/18/01 #3 UConn 61, #25 VU 43 Villanova, Pa. 
01/19/02 #1 UConn 93, VU 60 Villanova, Pa. 
03/04/02 #1 UConn 83, VU 39 Piscataway, N.J. 
01/29/03 #2 UConn 58, #20 VU 38 Storrs, Conn. 
03/11/03 #18 VU 52, #1 UConn 48 Piscataway, N.J. 
02/28/04 VU 59, #1 UConn 56 Villanova, Pa. 
01/15/05 #16 UConn 73, VU 57 Storrs, Conn. 
12/08/05 #8 UConn 72, VU 56 Villanova, Pa
02/24/07 #3 UConn 92, VU 49 Hartford, Conn. 
01/03/08 #1 UConn 88, VU 38 Villanova, Pa. 
02/24/09 #1 UConn 74, VU 47 Storrs, Conn. 0
3/09/09 #1 UConn 72, VU 42 Hartford, Conn. 
01/23/10 #1 UConn 74, VU 35 Villanova, Pa. 
01/05/11 #2 UConn 81, VU 35 Storrs, Conn. 
01/14/12 #3 UConn 72, VU 49 Villanova, Pa. 
01/29/13 #3 UConn 76, VU 43 Hartford, Conn. 
12/22/20 #3 UConn 90, VU 52 Villanova, Pa. 
03/07/21 #1 UConn 84, VU 39 Uncasville, Conn.
02/09/22 VU 72, #8 UConn 69 Hartford, Conn. 
03/07/22 #6 UConn 70, VU 40 Uncasville, Conn.
01/29/23 #5 UConn 63, #21 VU 58 Hartford, Conn. 
02/18/23 #6 UConn 60, #14 VU 51 Villanova, Pa. 
03/06/23 #7 UConn 67, #10 VU 56 Uncasville, Conn
01/31/24 #11 UConn 81, VU 60 Villanova, Pa. 
02/28/24 #10 UConn 67, VU 46 Storrs, Conn.
01/5/24 #7 UConn 83, VU 52 Villanova, Pa. 

    Villanova Season to Date

Villanova was 7-7 before the first UConn game. Nova lost 83-52 but then won three of their last four games in the Big East to bring them to 10-9 on the season and 4-3 in conference. 

The Wildcats beat Georgetown 77-62, Depaul 66-55 and St. John's 66-64 and lost to Marquette 64-59.

       Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                   Villanova

                                              79.4        PPG                            65.2
                                              50.5        Defensive PPG            64.8
                                              28.9        Scoring Margin             0.4
                                              51.1        Field Goal %               43.1
                                              34.7        Defensive FG%           41.4 
                                              36.6        Three Point %             35.8
                                              30.0        Defensive 3PT%          30.5
                                              71.7        Free Throw %             74.1
                                              36.4        Rebounds/game           32.5
                                                5.7        Rebounding Margin      -3.5 
                                              21.4        Assists per game          14.5
                                              10.9        Turnover per game       13.5
                                                2.0        Assists/TO ratio            1.1
                                              11.1        Steals per game             6.4
                                                3.2        Blocks per game            3.5


 
      UCONN 




*******************************************************************

Villanova Wildcats


   Villanova Starters
Villanova Bench 




 Game Analysis

As I mentioned in the first Pregame Report leading scorer from last year Lucy Olsen and three other starters Zanai Jones, Bella Runyan, Christina Dalce have all left the team via either graduation or use of the portal. 

As a result of that player movement, the only two players that started any games last season.

Maddie Burke, is a 6' grad student guard. She has started her last eight games. She is averaging 7 PPG and 3 RPG. Maddie is a terrific three point shooting hitting them at 43.5%. She had 9 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists in the first UConn game.

The other Maddie is Maddie Webber, a 5'11" sophomore guard. She has started every game this season. She is second on the team in scoring at 12.9 PPG. She is really struggling from the field, shooting 39.0% but has been hot lately. She leads the team in three pointers taken but is only shooting 34.0%. Again, she is hot latetly. She gets to the FT line twice a game shooting 82.9%. She only had 5 points and goose eggs on rebounds and assists in the first UCOnn game going 2-9 from the field.

Leading the team in scoring is freshman Jasmine Bascoe. The 5'7" guard is averaging 15.1 PPG and leads the team in free throws taken at almost 4 per game. She is shooting them at a very high 87.7%. She also leads the team in assists at 4.2 per game. Quick hands get her a team high 2 steals per game. she had 12 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists in the first UConn game where she went 4-17 from the field and 2-5 on threes.    

Denise Carter is a 6' forward that transferred in from Mississippi State. She leads the team in rebounds at 6.1 per game and in blocks with one per game. She is averaging 9.1 PPG on 46.5% from the field. She had 10 points and 7 rebounds 4 of them offensive in the first UConn game. 

Bronag Power-Cassidy, a 5'7" guard that transferred in from Holy Cross is averaging 7.3 PPG and is the best three point shooter on the team going 24-48 on the season. She had 7 points and 3 rebounds against the Huskies in the first game. She was 3-4 from the field and 1-1 on threes. 

Off the bench - 

Ryanne Allen is a 6'1" Junior Guard transfer from Vanderbilt. Her overall numbers are just awful. She part of the rotation the last 6 games and has improved her numbers. She had 7 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists in the first UConn game. 

Lara Edmanson, a 6' Grad Student Forward that transferred in from Santa Clara has started 10 games but then missed a few games including the first UConn game. Lara lost her starting position but has playerd decent minutes off the bench the last 4 games.

UConn beat Villanova fairly easily in their first matchup. They led 23-15 after one quarter and 43-24 at the half. A solid third quarter pushed the lead to 29 points and the Huskies coasted in from their. Final score was 83-52, a 31 point win. I predicted 30. Not to shabby.

Strong led the way with 21 points going 9-12 from the field and 3-4 on threes. She added 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal and 1 block for a complete game.

Paige had a nice but in some ways quiet game. She scored 15 points on an efficient 7-11 from the field. She was only 1-3 on threes. 

Fudd was still getting back from her sprained knee in this one. She played 21 minutes and scored 8 points on 3-5 shooting and 2-4 on threes. For those who think she does nothing else but shoot, she had 3 rebounds and 1 steal.

Chen had a terrible shooting game going scorels on 0-5 shooting. But she had 7 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals and only 1 turnover. 

The best way to look at the center position is combine El Alfy and Brady's stats. So, in 27 minutes, they had 11 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists and 1 block. Solid game for the bigs.

Off the bench two former starters and sophomores had good games.

Shade had 8 points and 5 rebounds, 1 assists and 1 steal in 22 minutes. KK had a terrific game scoring 15 points on  6-7 shooting and 1-1 on threes in her 24 minutes.

Morgan only saw 6 minutes in this game.       
    
Final Prediction

Massey had the first game a 14 point spread. This one is a 19 point difference. 

UConn is coming off a great shooting game in their last outing against Seton Hall. Geno said it was the best played half of the year so far. A big question is, can they bring that forward into this game? We all hope so. It would be nice to see it. 

I'm feeling it. The starting lineup is really starting to get. Including El Alfy. And this is one heck of a bench. I'm hoping Aubrey gets double digit minutes in this one. Another really good offensive game in Gampel.   

My guess is UConn by 35+

GO HUSKIES!!