Thursday, January 16, 2025

Doggy's UConn/Seton Hall Pregame Report

 







UCONN HUSKIES                                                   SETON HALL
  16-2 (7-0)                                                                 13-4 (5-1)


Date: Sunday 
 January 19th, 2025
Gample Pavilion
Storrs, Ct. 
 Time: 1:00
TV: SNY
Internet: Foxsports.com/Live 


SETON HALL | UCONN 

UCONN LEADS 59-10 
H: 28-4 | A: 27-4 | N: 4-2 

Last 10 Games

12/08/18 #1 UConn 99, SHU 61 Hartford, Conn. 
12/05/19 #2 UConn 92, SHU 78 South Orange, N.J. 
12/15/20 #3 UConn 92, SHU 65 South Orange, N.J. 
02/10/21 #2 UConn 70, SHU 49 Storrs, Conn.
12/03/21 #2 UConn 74, SHU 49 Storrs, Conn.
01/21/22 #9 UConn 71, SHU 38 South Orange, N.J.
12/21/22 #9 UConn 98, SHU 73 Hartford, Conn. 
01/17/23 #5 UConn 103, SHU 58 South Orange, N.J.
01/17/24 #9 UConn 83, SHU 59 South Orange, N.J.
02/07/24 #11 UConn 67, SHU 34 Hartford, Conn.

Seton Hall Season to Date

Seton Hall has had a terrific season to date. Their OOC had some good teams. And some bad ones. 

The bad ones first. All wins. The Pirates  beat Wagner 84-40, Fordham 67-44, Bryant 55-39, and Cincinnati 69-68 in a nail biter.

Seton Hall then lost to Princeton 78-75 and at the time No. 6 USC 84-51.

Another four game winning streak beating San Francisco 59-53, Howard 87-63, Sacred Heart 67-46 and LeMoyne 68-41 in the weakest part of their schedule. 

Another speed bump, losing to then No. 5 LSU 91-64

The Pirates entered the Big East schedule after going 8-3 in their OOC schedule. 

One more four game winning streak with Seton Hall beating conference foes Providence 51-40, Butler 69-49, Villanova 56-55 and Georgetown 74-71 in overtime. 

Creighton was the victor in Seton Halls only conference loss beating the Pirates 72-64 in a close game that was only a two point margin with 2:30 left in the game. 

In their last outing before playing the Huskies the Hall beat Marquette 58-52.

There were several Big East opponents that both teams played if you are into score comparisons.

Georgetown - SHU +3, UConn +18
Marquette - SHU +6, UConn +32 
Villanova - SHU +1, UConn +31
Providence - SHU +11, UConn +26    

    Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                     Seton Hall

                                              78.9        PPG                            65.8
                                              51.7        Defensive PPG            58.0
                                              27.2        Scoring Margin             7.8
                                              50.5        Field Goal %               39.8
                                              35.6        Defensive FG%           41.0 
                                              35.6        Three Point %             28.8
                                              31.7        Defensive 3PT%         33.4
                                              71.2        Free Throw %             77.7
                                              36.1        Rebounds/game           34.4
                                                4.7        Rebounding Margin      -0.4 
                                              21.5        Assists per game          14.5
                                              10.6        Turnover per game       14.3
                                                2.0        Assists/TO ratio             1.0
                                              11.1        Steals per game            10.9
                                                3.4        Blocks per game            2.6






Seton Hall Starters

Seton Hall Bench

Game Analysis

Similar to last year, this is basically an entirely new team this season. Only one starter is back, one bench player that moved into the starting lineup and another returning bench player with limited experience.   

At this point last season the team was 11-6 overall and 3-3 in the Big East. This year they are 13-4 and 5-1 in the Big East. Kudos to Coach Bozzella for getting good players in the transfer portal and a good freshman class. And molding them into a winning team so far.    

Starters

The only returning starter is Amari Wright. She is point guard on the team and does a nice job controling the action. Her issue is that she can't shoot a lick (8-37) 21.8% on threes. She does a nice job distributing the ball averaging 4.5 APG. The 5'9" senior averages only 4.3 PPG but she does have 77 assists and 44 turnovers. Decent ratio. She also leads the team in steals with 37. 

Another returning player l'yanna Lops, a 6'3" grad student transfer from St. Bonaventure two years ago. She is using her Covid exemption this year. She is the biggest player on the team. Last season she came off the bench and this year has moved into the starting lineup. Lops is averaging 9.5 PPG and 5 RPG. She leads the team in blocks with 25. Not a great shooting percentage for a big at 44.8% and she does like to take three pointers. She takes over 4 per game but her problem is accuracy. She only makes 23.3% of them. A great free throw shooter at 89% but only takes 1 per game. 

New to the team is Faith Masonius, a Grad Student transfer from Maryland. She is a 6'1" forward. Faith has jumped right into the starting lineup and leads the team in scoring at 17.4 PPG. She has a great all around game averaging 5.4 RPG and 3 APG. Second on the team in assists as well. Masonius won't see much time on the bench in this game. Geno will be looking to shut her down. 

Another newcomer is Jada Eade, a 5'7" Freshman Guard. She was offense off the bench and now as a starter averaging 14.5 PPG, second on the team. She takes the most three pointers taking over 7 per game and shoots them at 37.8%. Unusual, she shoots worse overall at 37.6%. Half of her shots are three pointers. 

The final starter is Messiah Hunter, a 6'2" Junior transfer from West Virginia. Last season for WVU she played in 21 games, all off the bench. She averaged 1.6 points and 1.3 rebounds in 6.9 minutes per game. Clearly she was looking for more playing time and found it at Seton Hall. She is playing 16 MPG and is getting the starts with Catalon on the bench with the ankle injury. She is averaging 1.6 PPG and 2.5 RPG.  

Bench

Joniyah Bland-Fitzpatrich a 5'10" sophomore forward. The only other returning player she played in 15 games last years and averaged 1.1 points and 0.5 rebounds in 4.0 minutes per game. Not much of an improvement from last year. From New London, Connecticut, this season she is averaging 2.7 PPG and 3.1 RPG in 16 MPG.  Don't expect many contributions from her in this game.     

Kayden Lawson is another new player to the roster. The 6' Guard/forward Grad Student is a transfer from Virginia. She is averaging 5.9 PPG and 4.6 RPG. Another terrific foul shooter going 14-15 on the season. But a terrible shooter otherwise shooting 35% from the field and 20.7% on threes.

5'9" Freshman Guard Ja'Kahia Craft rounds out the current rotation. Sad to say more poor shooting from another Seton Hall player. She only averages 10.5 MPG. Her contributions are minimal, averaging 2.4 PPG and 2.3 RPG. She shoots 21.6% from the field 6-36 on threes. She'd be better off not shooting.

Savannah Catalon is a 5'8" sophomore from Texas. She has been injured the previous seven games after starting the first ten games. She is a very good shooter and overall player. They have managed to go 5-2 without her but will really miss her against UConn. 

Prediction

Similarly to St. John's, Seton Hall is a totally different team than last year. Unlike St. John's, the Pirates do not play great defense. UConn should be able to fly past the 80 point mark. 

If, like SJU in the last UConn game, Seton Hall can hit some threes they could make it interesting early. Look for someone that never hits threes to make a couple. 

Bottom line, the Huskies finally have their starting lineup and rotation in place. Once he makes his first subs, I'm sure like last game Geno will mix and match for much of the game. The starters look comfortable together. And the early subs of KK and Shade are seamless. As the 3rd and 4th groups on the floor get more comfortable with each other, the game lulls will be limited.     
 
Starters and first rotation open up a big lead. It's a sell out crowd at Gample so the ladies will want to pour it on. I don't see another 6 minute field goal drought in this one.

Big question for these games? Will see finally see Aubrey Griffin!!! Maybe this one? It won't be long. 

UConn by 45+.

Monday, January 13, 2025

Doggy's UConn/St. John's Pregame Report

 






  No. 7 UConn Huskies                                         St. John's Storm
15-2 (6-0)                                                           11-5 (1-4) 

 Wednesday, January 15th 2023
Time: 7:00 PM
Carnesecca Arena
Queens, NY 
TV: SNY
Internet: Foxsports.com 

Prior Meetings

ST. JOHN’S | UCONN
UCONN LEADS 49-18 H: 23-8 | A: 21-9 | N: 5-1

Last 14 games

02/18/12 SJU 57, #2 UConn 56 Storrs, Conn. 
03/05/12 #4 UConn 74, #13 SJU 43 Hartford, Conn. 
02/02/13 #3 UConn 71, SJU 65 Queens, N.Y. 
01/04/15 #2 UConn 70, SJU 54 Queens, N.Y. 
11/23/18 #2 UConn 65, SJU 55 St. Thomas, Virgin Islands 
02/03/21 #3 UConn 94, SJU 62 Storrs, Conn. 
02/17/21 #1 UConn 77, SJU 33 Queens, N.Y. 
03/06/21 #1 UConn 77, SJU 41 Uncasville, Conn. 
01/23/22 #9 UConn 75, SJU 57 Queens, N.Y. 
02/25/22 #7 UConn 93, SJU 38 Hartford, Conn. 
01/11/23 #4 UConn 82, SJU 52 Elmont, N.Y. 
02/21/23 SJU 69, #4 UConn 64 Hartford, Conn.
01/13/24 #13 UConn 92, SJU 49 Elmont, N.Y. 
02/04/24 #11 UConn 78, SJU 63 Storrs, Conn.

St. John's Season to Date

St. John's has played one of the weaker schedules so far this season. They started the season beating St. Peter's (Massey 300) 80-39, Long Island University (335) 67-50, Loyola Maryland (290) 69-61, Rhode Island (147) 60-45, Marist (256) 69-49, and Stony Brook (187) 58-34

Yes, a nice 6-0 start but you can see the ratings of the teams they beat. All expected wins for the Johnnies. 

They finally met a higher ranked team Harvard (47) and lost 54-52. Another winning streak followed that loss. They beat Penn State (59) 72-67, Wake Forest (114) 63-45, Hofstra (250) 62-38 and Fairfield (98) 77-68.

So, a good job to start the season, going 10-1 in their out of conference schedule. The Big East would be a different story. 

The Red Storm lost their first four conference games. Villanova (65) 71-57, Creighton (28) 75-56, Providence (131) 59-52 OT and DePaul (107) 67-60.       

Their only win was in the last game against the worst team in the Big East Xavier (251) winning 60-39.

    Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                     St. Johns's

                                              78.9        PPG                            63.4
                                              51.7        Defensive PPG            53.8
                                              27.2        Scoring Margin             9.6
                                              50.5        Field Goal %               43.0
                                              35.6        Defensive FG%           42.5 
                                              35.6        Three Point %              32.8
                                              31.7        Defensive 3PT%          29.2
                                              71.2        Free Throw %             77.7
                                              36.1        Rebounds/game           28.8
                                                4.7        Rebounding Margin      -2.8 
                                              21.5        Assists per game          12.4
                                              10.6        Turnover per game       12.1
                                                2.0        Assists/TO ratio             1.0
                                              11.1        Steals per game             9.3
                                                3.4        Blocks per game            1.6



*******************************************************************

St. John's




St. John's Starters


Game Analysis


Leading scorer for the Red Storm is Lashae Dwyer, a 5'6" Senior Guard who is a Miami transfer. She is the only double digit scorer for the Johnnies averaging 14.7 PPG. She takes almost twice as many shots as the next player. Not a great shooter, she is shooting 41.8% from the field and 26.2% on threes.  

Ber'niya Mayo is a 5'6" Grad Student  guard is in her second season at St. John's. She was a transfer from UMass.  This season she is second on the team  in scoring at 9.4 PPG. She is shooting 41.5% from the field and 9-33 (27.3%) on threes. She leads the team in assists with 48 and only 21 turnovers.

When your two best scorers shoot as badly as Dwyer and Mayo, you struggle to find points. 

 6' Senior forward Phoenix Gedeon is in her second season with St. John's after transfering from Robert Morris. She is averaging 6.3 PPG and 5.1 RPG.    

Kylie Lavelle is the "Big" on the team. The 6'2" Junior Forward is a transfer from Penn State.  Kylie is St. John's tallest player and she averages 7.9 points, 3.9 rebounds, .8 assists, .8 steals, .8 blocks. 

Jailah Donald is a 5'7" Junior Guard. She averages about 30 minutes per game. Her stat line is 5.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and .8 three-pointers per game.

Off the bench St. John's plays  5'7" junior guards Skye Owen and 5'9" Grad Student transfer from Monmouth ArianaVanderhoop. 
 
So, there you have it. The lowdown on the St. John's' rotation. 

St. John's only shoots 43% from the field and 32% on threes. They have an improved  assists to turnover ratio from last season at 1.0. They do turn teams over with 17.4 per game.  Defense is their strength but with the weak schedule, it's difficult to put that into perspective. They give up 53.7 PPG and turn their opponents over 18.4. 

Final Prediction

Getting this report out a little early so no word on Paige. Hopefully she is playing but it won't change my prediction.

Another game against a weak BE opponent. It's another chance to give everyone solid minutes. St. John's will keep the Huskies scoring down, possibly under 80. But this St. John's team is scoring challenged. Even against this weak schedule they are only averaging 63 PPG. I'm not sure they will score over 45 unless they have a hot first quarter like Georgetown did in the last game. I'm doubting that will happen.

UConn by 35+. It could be a big +.  

GO UCONN!!!