Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Doggy's UConn/USC Pregame Report

 







 No. 1 UConn Huskies                                  No. 16 USC Trojans         9-0                                                                  7-2

Saturday, December 13, 2025
Time: 5:30
Galen Center
Los Angeles, California
TV: FOX
 

**********************************************************

Prior Match ups 

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA | UCONN 

UCONN LEADS 4-1 
H: 1-1 | A: 1-0 | N: 2-0 

12/07/02 #3 UConn 68, USC 44 Hartford, Conn. 
12/07/03 #1 UConn 72, USC 69 Los Angeles, Calif.
04/01/24 #10 UConn 80, #3 USC 73 Portland, Ore.
12/21/24 #7 USC 72, #4 UConn 70 Hartford, Conn.
 03/31/25 $3 UConn 78, #4 USC 64 Spokane, Wash

USC Overview

Southern California is still working on their game with the big turnover of players they had from last year to this year. And especially considering they are still without JuJu Watkins and will be for the season, it could be tough for them to maintain a Top 25 position. 

They beat up New Mexico State 87-48 in their opening game and squeaked by No. 9 North Carolina State 69-68 on a basket by freshman Jazzy Davidson with 8.2 seconds left in the game. 

In the very next outing at the time No. 2 South Carolina hammered the Trojans 69-52 in a game that was competative in the first half. They bounced back with a win over Portland before losing to at the time No. 24 Notre Dame 61-59.    

Since that loss USC has gone on a four game winning streak beating Tennessee Tech 85-44, Pepperdine 82-52, Saint Mary's 82-52 and in their last outing won their initial Big Ten game of the season 59-50 over No. 21 Washington. Two former PAC 12 conference mates.
      
Comparative Team Statistics
     (leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                         USC

                                              91.0        PPG                             72.2
                                              51.9        Defensive PPG            52.9
                                              39.1        Scoring Margin            19.3
                                              50.4        Field Goal %                42.3
                                              32.8        Defensive FG%           34.0 
                                              39.8        Three Point %              31.3
                                              29.9        Defensive 3PT%          23.5
                                              75.4        Free Throw %              65.6
                                              41.6        Rebounds/Game          40.2
                                                8.7        Rebounding Margin        2.0 
                                              24.1        Assists per game          17.0
                                              11.9        Turnover per game       13.0
                                                2.0        Assists/TO ratio              1.3
                                              15.0        Steals per game             9.7
                                                4.6        Blocks per game             6.6
                                                         

USC





         


*******************************************************************

Game Analysis

Last season USC began and ended with the amazing freshman JuJu Watkins. The precocious youngster led the team to a losing effort in the Elite Eight game against the Huskies. This year the Trojans had added a Robin to Watkins' Batman. And they looked like they were going to make a championship run. KiKi Iriafan transfered in from Stanford and made an immediate impact on USC. But now with the season ending injury to Watkins, USC is down to just Robin. And  UConn ended their season.

So now USC has a totaly revamped roster. Just a few returning players and of course JuJu will miss this entire season.

The new star of the team is 6'2" freshman guard Jazzy Davidson. The long and thin lefty, Davison leads the team in scoring at 16.7 PPG. Sounds good right? But there is a lot of pressure on this young lady and she is what you would call a volume shooter. Jazzy leads the team by far in shots per game at 16 per game. But she only shoots 42.4% from the field and 24.6% on threes. She leads the team in rebounding at 7.2 RPG and assists as well with 4 APG. She will be fun to watch. A lefty too!!!      

Kennedy Smith, a 6'1" sophomore guard will be relied on to pick up some of the missing scoring. The only returning starter that will be on the court for the Trojans at the start of the season – parlayed her 2025 Big Ten All-Freshman and All-Defensive Team honors into a gold medal with Team USA at the FIBA AmeriCup.  The No. 6 recruit in the 2024 class, Smith is now the fourth leading scorer at 10 PPG. Smith is having a horrible shooting percentage this season. She is only shooting 31.7% from the field and 18.8% on threes. A big guard she rebounds at 4.2 per game. 

Kara Dunn is a 5'11" senior transfer from Georgia Tech. There she was the star of that team and was All-ACC firest team. A great accompliment. This year, in her first at USC, Dunn is averaging 11.4 PPG and is the second best rebounder at 5.4 RPG. She is one of the better shooters on the team shooting 42.4% from the field and 39.4% on threes.  

Vivian Iwuchukwu is a 6'3"sophomore from Nigeria and the only size in the starting lineup. She is averaging 5.3 PPG and 2.7 RPG. She is shooting a team leading 64.5% from the field. She starts but is only averaging 13.3 MPG.

Malia Samuels returns as a 5'6" junior guard. Last year she came off the bench but has elevated into a starting position.The speedy guard is averaging 3.4 PPG and is really struggling from the field. She is shooting 31.3% from the field, 36% on threes and 30% from the free throw line. She does average almost 2 steals per game.  

USC doesn't havve the longest bench. In their toughest games they only go two deep so that is all I'm report on here.

Gerda Raulusaityte is a 6'3" forward from Lithuania, who provides size and production with the absence of the graduated Iriafen. Gottlieb noted that the staff was looking for someone with leadership, experience, and unafraid – Raulusaityte is 21 and has been playing on the national level overseas for some time. First off the bench, Gerda is averaging 4.1 PPG on 56.5% shooting and 4.2 RPG for the Trojans.  

We all remember little Londyn Jones, a 5'4" transfer from UCLA. She is a double digit scorer off the bench at 11.1 PPG and is shooting 37.5% on threes. She is the best free throw shooter on a poor FT shooting team at 88.2 going 15-17 on her attempts.    


Final Prediction 

This is going to be a really tough game for USC. Yes, they are home, and they even might ride an early jolt of adrenaline to stay with UConn early and even lead for a short time. But any success will be short lived. UConn's experience and depth will start to wear on the Trojans and UConn will pull away. 

UConn will go 8-9 deep while the game is close and if they pull away they could go even deeper into the bench. While UConn is an experienced returning championship team, USC has only one starter back in Kennedy Smith and only two other players returning. They will only go 7 deep.       

As good as last seasons UConn team was last year this team's defense is better. Even the bench is playing great defense with supreme effort. It's very rare that Geno doesn't game plan for a team dominated by one player, Jazzy in this case. She is really talented but she is a freshman and will have her struggles against the aggressive UConn defense. The Trojans only average 70 PPG. I can't see them breaking 60 against UConn.

I'm not sure the USC post defense is up to the task of holding down Sarah and Serah. If the rims are favorable to Fudd look for another big game.   

Massey has it a 9 point spread. I like UConn by 15+. Emphasis on the plus. 

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Doggy's UConn/Michigan Pregame Report



UConn Huskies              vs                           Michigan Wolverines
AP #1                                                               AP # 6
Coaches Poll #1                                           Coaches Poll #9
4-0                                                                          4-0


Friday, November 21th, 8:00 PM
Mohegan Sun Arena
Uncasville, Ct.
TV - Fox

UConn and Michigan are meeting for the first time in their history

Michigan Overview

Michigan has had a great start to their season before meeting the Huskies.

They are 4-0 beating Canisus 100-40, Harvard 84-55, Binghampton xx-xx and in their signature game of the season so far a 93-54 drubbing of at the time No. 18 Notre Dame. That win moved the Wolverines from No. 14 to No. 6. I'm not sure that big a jump is warrented against an overrated Notre Dame team.

One thing to take into consideration is the opponents that Michigan has played. Canisus is rated 356 by Massey, Harvard a  respectible 84 by Massey and Binghampton 288 by Massey. Credit where credit is due, Notre Dame is rated 16 by Massey.    

Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                    Michigan

                                              90.8        PPG                            99.3
                                              58.0        Defensive PPG            49.8
                                              32.8        Scoring Margin           49.5
                                              52.2        Field Goal %               55.8
                                              36.1        Defensive FG%           32.7 
                                              33.3        Three Point %             40.5
                                              32.4        Defensive 3PT%         20.7
                                              86.8        Free Throw %             66.3
                                              42.0        Rebounds/game           41.3
                                                9.3        Rebounding Margin     13.5 
                                              23.5        Assists per game          20.3
                                              12.3        Turnover per game       16.0
                                                1.9        Assists/TO ratio             1.3
                                              15.5        Steals per game            15.3
                                                5.0        Blocks per game            3.5 

 UCONN 



The player and coaches names for both teams 
are clickable to see their Bios

*******************************************************************

Michigan Wolverines



   Michigan Starters
Michigan Bench 





 


 Game Analysis

"Based on what I've seen from Michigan they will be, for sure, the best team we play this year, by a long shot at this time in the season" - Geno 

Wow Geno, some statement there. I'm sure the fans of Tennessee, USC and Iowa might differ. Then again, beating Notre Dame by 39 is an accomplishemt. While Notre Dame was listed as the home team on this neutral court, they played in Detroit Michigan. I am sure there were more Michigan fans there. None the less, the Wolverines kicked the Irish ass.

What makes Michigan a good team? Well, they play really well together on both offense and defense. They are just a really well coached team.  We all know their head coach Kim Barnes Arico. She was at St. John's from 2002-03 thru 2011-12. She finished with a 176-134 record. But her big claim to fame was beating UConn and ending the NCAA record 99 game winning streak with a late three pointer to win 57-56.

Ok, I washed my mouth out to get rid of that bad taste. Back to the analysis.

Super sophomore Olivia Olson, a 6'1" guard is the top scorer on the team. After a terrific freshman season where she was CO-Big Ten FOY. She is averaging 17.8 PPG, 4 RPG and is shooting her three pointers at a 46.7% clip. She is also great at getting into the lane and getting fouled, with almost 6 trips to the foul line per game shooting at 80%. The clear team leader in every way.

Mila Holloway is the second leading scorer on the team at 14.3 PPG. The 5'10" sophomore guard set a freshman record for Michigan last year with 148 assists. She is leading the team with 6 APG and 3.5 steals per game.     

6' sophomore guard Syla Swords is another double digit scorer at 12.3 PPG. She has taken the most three pointers on the team but so far is only shooting them at a 30.4 clip. She leads the team in rebounds at 5.3 per game. She has been chosen pre-season all Big-Ten for 2025-26.   

Ashley Sofilkanich is the height in the starting lineup. The 6'3" junior forward transferred to Michigan from Bucknell. She dominated there winning Patriot League Player of the Year,  All-Patriot League first team, Patriot League All-Defensive Team, Patriot League All-Academic Team. She  averaged 19.7 points and 8.4 rebounds in 32.0 minutes per game last season. In her first two games at Michigan she is playing 14.9 MPG and 10.5 PPG. She is a remarkable 20-26 from the floor for 76%.

Who will be the fifth starter? So far they have had 3 different players in that slot. The latest is Kendall Dudley, who is still working herself back from an injury. She might start going forward. The 6'2" guard transfer from UCLA had a quiet freshman season for UCLA and is looking for more playing time at Michigan. She is getting it. In her 15 MPG she is averaging 5 PPG and 3.5 RPG. 

I'm sure the other two players who have started will get minutes against the Huskies as well as a couple of other bench players.

Brook Quarles Daniels started one game. The 5'7" senior guard transferred in from Oakland two seasons ago. Last season she led the team in steals at 1.6 per game. This year she is averaging 21.5 MPG, 4.8 PPG and 4.8 RPG. She has the best Assist/Turnover ratio with 17 assists and only 5 turnovers. 

Alyssa Crockett started two games for Michigan this season. The 6'2" senior forward is a four year player for Michigan and the player with the most experience on the team. In 13.5 MPG she is averaging 4.8 PPG and 1.5 RPG.       

The most productive bench player for the Wolverines is Te'Yala Delfosse. The 6'3" sophomore guard/forward is the fifth double digit scorer. In 17.6 MPG she is averaging 10.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG (tied for the team lead) and is 4-6 on three pointers.  

5'10" freshman guard McKenzie Matherin is a possibility for some minutes in this game. A tough spot for a freshman so come into. She is averaging 7 PPG in her 17.2 MPG. Her issue is that she has only 5 assists and 11 turnovers.     

Michigan plays a solid man-to-man switching defense. They are not particulalry quick but they do a great job playing off each other. They use full court pressure defense and it was pretty effective against the weaker teams. They play in your face man-to-man once the ball crosses half court. They are turning over teams at a high rate with 29.8 per game. Yes, that is the real number. I'm pretty sure its a reflectionon their schedule. 

Offensively they look to run off defensive rebounds. They force around 29.8 turnovers per game and around half of those are on steals, leading to fast breaks. They also like to take three pointers off of fast breaks. They average 20 three point shots taken per game and hit them at a solid 35% rate. One weakness is free throw shooting as they hit only 67% of those.

Once in the half court they are constantly looking for driving lanes and once past the first line of defense, they look to dish to open players in the paint. It's been pretty effective. They also will kick out from the paint for open threes. They appear to have an offensive plan unlike so many other teams UConn faces.        

Final Prediction

So, how will this game play out? It's a tough one to get a handle on. Three Michigan games were against weaker teams with Harvard being the best. And the Wolverines blew them out. It's what a 6th (now) ranked team should do. The question is if Notre Dame is that bad or is Michigan that good in the Irish embarrassing loss. Probably a combination of both.

This game will be more about talent a UConn has an advantage all over the court. No one matches up with Fudd and Strong, i'm not sure Michigane can handle Williams and the Huskies advantage up and down the linep is obvious. 

If Michigan can hold their own in turnovers, hit a high percentage of threes and hold the Huskies down somewhat, they have a shot to keep it close. I'm sure UConn has other ideas and with a week to put together a game plan I'm sure Geno has a good plan.

Too much Fudd, Strong,Williams, Blanca. Too much great UConn defense.     

UConn by 15+