Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Doggy's UConn vs North Carolina Sweet Sixteen Pregame Report



                                                     
 1 Seed UConn Huskies                   4 Seed North Carolina Tarheels   36-0                                                                          28-7

Friday, March 27th, 2026
Time: 5:00
Place: Fort Worth, Texas 
TV: ESPN 

Prior Meetings

NORTH CAROLINA vs| UCONN 
UCONN LEADS 10-5 H: 4-1 | A: 2-2 | N: 4-2 

01/12/80 UNC 84, UConn 51 Chapel Hill, N.C. 
03/26/94 #4 UNC 81, #3 UConn 69 Piscataway, N.J. 
12/02/95 #2 UConn 77, #24 UNC 62 Richmond, Va.
11/15/01 #1 UConn 94, UNC 74 Storrs, Conn. 
11/21/04 #9 UNC 71, #4 UConn 65 Raleigh, N.C. 
12/05/05 #7 UNC 77, #8 UConn 54 Hartford, Conn.
 01/15/07 #2 UNC 82, #6 UConn 76 Chapel Hill, N.C. 
01/21/08 #1 UConn 82, #3 UNC 71 Storrs, Conn. 
01/19/09 #1 UConn 88, #2 UNC 58 Chapel Hill, N.C. 
01/09/10 #1 UConn 88, #7 UNC 47 Storrs, Conn. 
01/17/11 #3 UConn 83, #10 UNC 57 Chapel Hill, N.C. 
01/16/12 #3 UConn 86, #24 UNC 35 Storrs, Conn. 
12/06/23 #17 UConn 76, #24 UNC 64 Uncasville, Conn. 
11/15/24 #2 UConn 69, #14 UNC 58 Greensboro, N.C.

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North Carolina Season

Similar to Syracuse, almost all of UNC's losses were to Top 25 teams.

They lost to at the time No. 3 UCLA 78-60, at the time No. 2 Texas 79-64, at the time No. 22 Louisville 76-66 in overtime, at the the No. 11 Duke 72-68, and at the time No. 12 Louisville 65-57.

They also lost to Stanford 77-71 in overtime and rising team Notre Dame 73-50.

That is all seven losses. Other than Stanford, they beat every team they should have beaten. But on the other hand, they didn't win any games where they were not favored. 

They are having a solid start to their NCAA tournament, beating 13th seed Western Illinois 82-51 and 5th seeded Maryland (bye bye Brenda) 74-66

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Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                             UConn                                       North Carolina 

                                              89.1        PPG                           75.6
                                              50.3        Defensive PPG            58.9
                                              38.8        Scoring Margin           16.6
                                              52.5        Field Goal %               45.6
                                              33.5        Defensive FG%           36.5 
                                              39.2        Three Point %             35.6
                                              27.1        Defensive 3PT%          27.9
                                              74.0        Free Throw %             69.0
                                              37.8        Rebounds/game           39.7
                                                6.4        Rebounding Margin       7.5 
                                              23.7        Assists per game          15.7
                                              12.7        Turnover per game       14.1
                                                1.9        Assists/TO ratio             1.1
                                              15.7        Steals per game              8.7
                                                4.9        Blocks per game            3.6
    
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North Carolina Tar Heels 



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 Game Analysis

UConn and North Carolina player early last season with the Huskies winning 69-58 in their third game of the season. However, there is not much to glean from that matchup. Only Strong and Shade started in that game with Bueckers, Chen and Brady not returning or available in this game. Arnold cmae off the bench in that game. Fudd was not healthy for that game. For UNC, they only return one starter from that game and two players that came off the bench are now starting. Let's get into their player analysis.

6'2" senior forward Nyla Harris is a transfer from Louisville She is leading UNC in scoring at 11.5 PPG and rebounds at 6.9 RPG. Harris is shooting 58.2% from the field but only 2-14 on threes. She gets to the free throw line the most on the team and shoots them at a solid 78.7%. 

Lanie Grant is a 5'9" sophomore guard. She is second on the team in scoring at 11.3 PPG. She is a terrific three point shooter hitting them at 42.8%. Grant plays the most minutes on average at 29 MPG.  

Elina Aarisalo is a 5'10" sophomore guard who, like UConn's Heckel, transferred to UNC from UCLA after her freshman season. She is third in scoring at 10.4 PPG. Another solid three point shooter at 40.9% but only takes 2.5 per game. She is second on the team in assists at 2.9 APG and has a solid assist/to ratio of 99/73.

5'10" senior guard Indya Nivar transferred in Stanford two years ago and is the only returning starter. She is the fourth double digit scorer on the team averaging 10.3 PPG. She leads the team in assists at 3.8 APG. Nivar is not a good long range shooter only hitting them at a 30.8% clip. She had the best assist/turnover ratio at 129/87.    

6'4" RS sophomore Ciarra Toomey is the best big on the team. She is averaging 8.9 PPG and is second in rebounding at 6.2 RPG. We all know how hard UConn recruiter her and I'm sure many UConn fans thought she was  lock to hear to Storrs. Her favorite player was Stewie and she appeared to lover UConn. Can't get them all! She leads he team in blocks at 1.5 BPG. She is a little slower on the court than I remember. She is shooting 54.7% from the field and only 29% on threes on 2 attempts per game.

They are missing Reniya Kelly, a 5'7" junior guard who was playing 25.3 MPG. She didn't score much or shoot a good percentage but her minutes kept others fresh. She has been injured for the last 13 games.

Only two bench players will see significant minutes.   

Nyla Brooks is a 6'1" freshman guard. She has taken the second most three point shots  and hits them at a solid 37.8% on 5 per game. She is averaging 8.7 PPG and will be counted on to his some clutch three pointers. She actually shoots a hight percentage from deep than overall from the field at 36%.

6'1" RS sophomore guard Laila Hull is the other player off the bench. She is another solid three point shooter at 36.4%. She is only averaging 3.6 PPG.  

Overall North Carolina is a middle of the road type team. They shoot a good overall percentage at 45.8%, a good 3 point pecentage at 35.6%, they average a decent 75.6 PPG. Their only advantage over UConn is the same as many other teams, they rebound better. At least that is what their stats say. But middle of the road statistics just won't cut it against UConn.

UNC is mostly a man-to-man team. Looking at the starters, they will have a tough time (like most teams) matching up with Strong. On offense, after watching the Maryland game, UNC guards love to penetrate all the way to the basket. UConn's double teams and switching defense wil make that difficult.     
 

Final Prediction


Sometimes you can look at comparative scores to get an idea how a team will do against the Huskies. Do we have any games like that? We do.

UNC played Louisville twice. They won both games, winning by 10 points in overtime and 8 points. UConn beat Louisville by 13 points.

UNC played Notre Dame, losing by 23 points. UConn beat the Irish by 38 points.

UNC played Syracuse losing in Overtime by 6 points.

Based on that, UConn should win handily. Of course there is more to it. UConn is playing at a really high level. Can they keep that up in this game. It's a different arena, different baskets (same height but new for them to shoot at), and teams can just play above their heads aginst them. 

I don't think UNC can win this game but they certainly can do better than Syracuse did. That wouldn't be hard. I expect UNC to put up a good fight. However, the Huskies are on a mission. 

UConn by 20+.    

Saturday, March 21, 2026

Doggy's UConn/Syracuse 2nd round Pregame Report

 




 1 Seed UConn Huskies                                8 Seed Syracuse Orange   35-0                                                                          24-8

Monday, March 23rd, 2026
Time: TBD
Gampel Pavilion
Storrs, Ct.  
TV: TBD 

Prior Meetings

SYRACUSE | UCONN LEADS 41-12
 H: 20-4 | A: 16-7 | N: 5-1 

12/29/80 SU 73, UConn 68 Philadelphia, Pa. 
02/13/82 SU 86, UConn 78 Storrs, Conn. 
02/02/83 SU 90, UConn 64 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/25/84 SU 61, UConn 56 Storrs, Conn. 
01/12/85 SU 82, UConn 61 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/13/85 SU 74, UConn 59 Storrs, Conn. 
01/04/86 SU 68, UConn 60 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/01/86 SU 78, UConn 72 Storrs, Conn. 
01/17/87 SU 67, UConn 52 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/18/87 UConn 52, SU 49 Storrs, Conn. 
01/20/88 SU 68, UConn 54 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/20/88 UConn 74, SU 60 Hartford, Conn. 
01/21/89 SU 77, UConn 60 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/08/90 UConn 58, SU 42 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/07/90 UConn 68, SU 56 Storrs, Conn. 
01/16/91 #18 UConn 65, SU 63 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/17/91 #15 UConn 85, SU 49 Storrs, Conn. 
01/15/92 SU 68, #22 UConn 51 Storrs, Conn. 
02/15/92 UConn 83, SU 68 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/02/93 #21 UConn 78, SU 50 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/07/93 UConn 85, SU 54 Storrs, Conn. 
01/03/94 #4 UConn 64, SU 45 Storrs, Conn. 
02/24/94 #4 UConn 79, SU 50 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/22/95 #1 UConn 89, SU 58 Storrs, Conn. 
02/25/95 #1 UConn 89, SU 62 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/02/96 SU 62, #2 UConn 59 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/07/97 #1 UConn 93, SU 67 Storrs, Conn. 
02/26/97 #1 UConn 86, SU 52 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/01/98 #2 UConn 100, SU 62 Storrs, Conn. 
02/03/99 #4 UConn 96, SU 50 Storrs, Conn. 
02/23/99 #6 UConn 105, SU 43 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/18/00 #1 UConn 100, SU 74 Storrs, Conn. 
01/09/01 #1 UConn 76, SU 63 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/27/01 #2 UConn 84, SU 60 Hartford, Conn. 
02/13/02 #1 UConn 85, SU 55 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/12/03 #1 UConn 75, SU 51 Hartford, Conn. 
02/11/04 #2 UConn 82, SU 38 Syracuse, N.Y. 
02/19/05 #11 UConn 85, SU 49 Hartford, Conn. 
03/06/05 #14 UConn 82, SU 56 Hartford, Conn. 
02/22/06 #8 UConn 65, SU 36 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/13/07 #7 UConn 76, SU 45 Storrs, Conn. 
01/15/08 #1 UConn 65, SU 59 Syracuse, N.Y
01/17/09 #1 UConn 107, SU 53 Hartford, Conn. 
02/24/10 #1 UConn 87, SU 66 Syracuse, N.Y. 
03/07/10 #1 UConn 77, SU 41 Hartford, Conn. 
02/28/11 #1 UConn 82, SU 47 Storrs, Conn. 
01/25/12 #3 UConn 95, SU 54 Syracuse, N.Y. 
01/19/13 #3 UConn 87, SU 62 Hartford, Conn. 
03/11/13 #3 UConn 64, #24 SU 51 Hartford, Conn. 
04/05/16 #1 UConn 82, #17 SU 51 Indianapolis, Ind. 
03/20/17 #1 UConn 94, SU 64 Storrs, Conn. 
03/23/21 #1 UConn 83, SU 47 San Antonio, Texas 
03/25/24 #10 UConn 72, #22 SU 64 Storrs, Conn

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Syracuse Season

Syracuse has had a nice season to date. They are 24-8 and were 12-6 in a decent ACC conference. 

Just some highlights in their season.

Well, not many...lol. They lost to every NCAA tournament team in the regular season but one. 

Michigan 81-55.
Duke 71-51.
Virginia Tech 77-57.
North Carolina 77-71 in overtime
Louisville 84-65
NC State 82-69.
Notre Dame 72-62.
Louisville II 87-61.

Those are all of their losses. That's the bad news. The good news is they beat everyone they should have beaten. 

Their best win was against Virginia, who barely made the tournament as a "First Four" team. Virginia won their play-in game against Arizona State and then beat Georgia in the first round.    

They beat Iowa State in the opening round 72-63 to have the chance to play UConn.  

  

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Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                             UConn                                       Syracuse 

                                              88.8        PPG                           74.4
                                              50.4        Defensive PPG            63.4
                                              38.4        Scoring Margin           11.0
                                              52.4        Field Goal %               42.4
                                              33.5        Defensive FG%           40.4 
                                              38.9        Three Point %             31.6
                                              27.6        Defensive 3PT%          28.5
                                              74.1        Free Throw %             72.6
                                              37.5        Rebounds/game           42.2
                                                6.1        Rebounding Margin       7.8 
                                              23.6        Assists per game          14.7
                                              12.7        Turnover per game       15.6
                                                1.9        Assists/TO ratio              .9
                                              15.7        Steals per game            10.5
                                                5.0        Blocks per game            5.4
    
*******************************************************************


****************************************************************************

 Game Analysis

A familar foe and they are playing in a familiar game. Two years ago it was close to the day when these two teams last met. UConn beat the Orange 72-64 in the 2nd round game in the 23-24 season in a competative game. . 

However, this is two years later and there is only one player in their rotation that is on this years roster. 

Before I go into their player rotation Syracuse lost a starter to injury two games ago. 5'10" grad student guard Dominique Darius injured her left hand is was out for the game against Iowa State and will miss the 2nd round NCAA game against UConn.  She is a big loss for the Orange. The third leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, her loss will be felt more as the point guard. She leads the team in assists at  3.5 APG. Syracuse will certainly miss her leadership on the court and in the huddle.

Against Iowa State, Syracuse was limited to only 6 players in double digit minutes.

Uche Izoje, a 6'3" freshman forward, is the leading best player on the team. In similar fashion to Strong she is the leading scorer on the team at 15.7 PPG, leads the team in rebounding at 9.3 RPG and leads the team in block shots at 2.5 BPG. A great building block for the Orange as long as they can hold on to her.

6' senior guard Laila Phelia is the second leading scorer on the team at 13,8 PPG. She leads the team in steals at 2 per game. She is by far the best 3 point shooter on the team, hitting them at a 37.2% clip. 

Sophie Burrows is the only player on the roster who saw action against UConn in the 2nd round game 2 years ago. The pressure (in more than one way) will be on her to handle the UConn pressure with their usual point guard out with an injury. I almost feel sorry for her. Almost. She is averaging 11.3 PPG. Second on the team in assists at 2.3 per game. She by far takes the most three pointers on the team with 6 per game, but she only shoots 30.8% from deep.

Replacing Darius in the starting lineup is 6' sophomore guard Madaline Potts. She won't see many minutes. Against Iowa State she started but only played 16 minutes. On the season she averaged 3.6 PPG om 9 MPG. 

Another fairly new addition to the starting lineup, 6'3" Senior Journey Thompson is averaging 3.9 PPG and 4.3 RPG. She only played 17 MPG for the season. She played 33 minutes against Iowa State but was scoreless taking only 1 missed shot. However, she did grab 13 rebounds in that game.

Olivia Schmitt, a 5'5" sophomore guard was the only real contributer off the bench. She played 31 minutes and scored 15 points, all them on three pointers going 5-9. She was huge in the second quarter when Syracuse built their big lead that they were able to hang on to. 

Three other players saw minutes, but only 5, 7, and 7 each. They were scoreless.    
 

Final Prediction


Well folks, this could get ugly quickly. Missing your primary ball handler against a defensive team like UConn is just a killer situation. And with UConn struggling from three point going 7-33, you can bet that won't happen again. The Huskies should have dusted off the rust after the long layoff between games. I would bet they shoot better. 

UConn will win this one big. My dislike for Syracuse has lessoned after Hillsman left them. But I still enjoy a good beatdown.

UConn by 40+.