Sunday, February 28, 2016

DoggyDaddy's UConn/South Florida II Pre Game Report



 
UCONN Vs. South Florida
Day: Monday
Date: February 29th, 2016
Location: Storrs, Ct
Time: 7:00
TV: ESPN2
 

 
                                         
 
No. 1 UConn Huskies                         No. 21 South Florida Bulls
           28-0 (17-0)                                                  21-7 (14-3)
 
Prior Meetings

UConn leads the series 17-0

12/28/02 W 72-56 A
12/1/04 W 75-65 (ot) H
1/24/06 W 77-47 H
2/20/07 W 81-67 A
3/4/07 W 74-54 N
1/30/08 W 71-48 H
1/6/09 W 83-37 A
3/8/09 W 79-42 H
1/4/10 W 84-42 H
12/2/10 W 80-54 A
1/28/12 W 77-62 H
3/2/13 W 85-51 A
1/26/14 W 81-53 H
2/16/14 W 63-38 A
1/18/15 W 92-50 H
3/2/15 W 88-65 N
3/9/15 W 84-70 N
1/10/16 W 75-59 A

Team Overviews

UConn at South Florida Game 1 Highlights

The first time these two teams met, it was in Tampa and UConn won 75-59. It was another game that was a slow start for UConn. They took quite a few open threes as South Florida packed the paint to negate the inside advantage the Huskies held especially with USF's star front court player Alisa Jenkins out with an ankle injury. UConn really struggled early from the outside, missing their first 5 three pointers. And while that was going on, the Bulls took advantage of their open looks, especially their star Courtney Williams and the freshman from Latvia, Kitija Laska. South Florida was 4-5 on threes while UConn was 0-4 and the Bulls had a 14-6 lead. UConn put this one away early in the fourth quarter.  Jefferson, Tuck and Samuelson hit consecutive threes and the UConn lead was 18. After Nurse hit a pair of free throws and a nice jumper, the lead was expanded to 21 with around four minutes left in the game. South Florida went on a quick 9-0 run of their own with 3 three pointers, two by Courtney Williams. But that was as close as the Bulls would get. UConn pushed the lead to 18 before Courtney Williams hit her final basket for the final score, 75-59. 
 
South Florida is coming off a nice win against Temple Saturday and are 9-2 their last 11 games. They will have Jenkins back for this one. Jenkins is the leading rebounder in the AAC and second leading scorer for the Bulls. She is also the emotional leader of the team and should have an impact in this game.
 
UConn is coming off a senior day victory over Tulane 80-40 after their worst quarter of the season to start the game. They will have to put that behind them as USF would take advantage of that kind of slow start. Stewart comes into this game playing even better since the Team USA tryouts. Playing against and with the greatest players in the world seems to have brought her confidence to another level. Speaking of another level, Samuelson has certainly gone there! Over her last three games, she has scored 19, 21 and 21 points. She has shot 20-30 from the field and 15-25 on threes.    
 
Stat by Stat Comparison

 Leader is bolded. 
 
                         UConn                                          South Florida
 
                                           88.3         Points Per Game                     75.4
                                           47.7         Opp Points Per Game             61.8
                                           .522         Field Goal %                           .421
                                           .327         Opp Field Goal %                   .373
                                           .358         3 Point Field Goal %              .359
                                           .301         Opp 3 Point Field Goal %      .302
                                           .799         Free Throw %                         .789
                                            41.3        Rebounds Per Game               43.8
                                            30.6         Opp Rebounds Per Game       35.0
                                            21.8         Assists Per Game                   13.9
                                            12.0         Turnovers Per Game              13.1
                                              1.8         Assists/Turnover Ratio            1.3
                                            12.6         Steals Per Game                      6.1
                                              6.6         Blocks Per Game                    3.4
 




UConn Starters
 
30 Breanna Stewart 
6'4" Senior Forward

In the first matchup, Stewie hit a couple of huge threes in the first half, but she was clearly grabbed, held, pushed and harassed every possession. The refs just don't see enough of the off the ball fouls, in my opinion. In spite of that, I thought that Stewart had a solid game and her 12 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists and 3 blocks were key in the victory.
 
2015-16 Stats
27 Games - MPG 28.7, FG% .583, 3PT% .421, PPG 19.3 RPG 8.4, APG 4.1, 48 steals, 93 blocks
 
3 Morgan Tuck
6'2" RS Junior Forward

In the first matchup, Morgan did it offensively in every way you can think of. She was 3-6 on threes. She handed out four assists. She scored 22 points. She drove to the basket, posted up. This was before her knee started acting up.
  
2015-16 Stats
  23 Games - MPG 25.9, FG% .488, 3PT% .255, PPG 12.3, RPG 5.6, APG 3.0, 16 steals, 8 blocks

4 Moriah Jefferson
5'7" Senior Guard

Jefferson played a tough 39 minutes in the first matchup. I'm pretty sure her focus on defense and ball distribution impacted her shooting some, as she went only 3-10 from the field and only 2-3 on threes. But she had six assists and only two turnovers and she played excellent defense as always. 
 
2015-16 Stats
   27 Games - MPG 30.8, FG% .566, 3PT% .391, PPG 13.2, RPG 2.6, APG 5.5, 75 steals, 6 blocks

11 Kia Nurse
6' Sophomore Guard


I remember watching the first matchup where she missed her first three and said, oh no, here we go again. But she sure turned that around for the rest of the game. In her 33 minutes she scored 16 points and went 4-8 on threes. Her hustle was as good as ever.  
 
2015-16 Stats
   28 Games - MPG 27.5, FG% .410, 3PT% .325, PPG 8.9, RPG 2.0, APG 2.9, 42 steals, 6 blocks

33 Katie Lou Samuelson
6'3" Freshman Guard/Forward

Playing off the bench in the first matchup, Katie hit a couple of big threes in the fourth quarter and overall played a nice game. She managed to snag four tough rebounds and played some nice defense. She played 22 minutes in scoring 8 points. She'll be starting in this game.
  
 2015-16 Stats
   28 Games - MPG 22.4, FG% .472, 3PT% .377, PPG 10.4, RPG 3.4, APG 2.3, 31 steals, 5 blocks


UConn Bench
 
15 Gabby Williams
5'11" Sophomore Forward
  
I thought in the first matchup Williams had a terrific 17 minutes. She scored 7 points, had 4 rebounds and 2 assists. As always, a pest on defense.     
  
2015-16 Stats
   28 Games - MPG 19.2, FG% .634, 3PT% .000, PPG 9.7 RPG 5.9, APG 1.3, 57 steals, 10 blocks 
 
24 Napheesa Collier
6'1 Freshman Forward/Guard

Collier started but only played 14 minutes in the first matchup but she managed to tear down 6 rebounds. She looked lost out there on defense, something you don't see very often. But an overall solid performance.
  
2015-16 Stats
   28 Games - MPG 18.2, FG% .531, 3PT% .167, PPG 6.8, RPG 5.6, APG .9, 42 steals, 40 blocks

51 Natalie Butler
6'5" RS Sophomore Center


 Natalie only played one minute in the first matchup.
 
2015-16 Stats
   17 Games - MPG 14.8, FG% .589, 3PT% .000, PPG 7.4, RPG 4.9, APG 1.1, 12 steals, 15 blocks
 
12 Saniya Chong
5'8" Junior Guard
 
 Saniya did not play in the first matchup.
 
2015-16 Stats
   23 Games - MPG 14.7, FG% .405, 3PT% .365, PPG 4.6, RPG 1.5, APG 1.3, 17 steals, 2 blocks
 
 
22 Courtney Ekmark
6' Sophomore Guard
   
 Ekmark played one minute in the first matchup. 

2015-16 Stats
   24 Games - MPG 10.0, FG% .500, 3PT% .394, PPG 2.7, RPG 1.3, APG .8, 9 steals, 1 block
 
20 Tierney Lawlor
5'7" Junior Guard


Lawlor did not play in the first matchup.

2015-16 Stats
  22 Games - MPG 3.2, FG% .429, 3PT% .400, PPG .4, RPG 0.1, APG 0.1, 1 steals, 0 blocks

22 Briana Pulido 
5'7" Senior Guard

 Pulido did not play in the first matchup.
  
2015-16 Stats
   19 Games - MPG 2.8, FG% .188, 3PT% .111, PPG 0.4, RPG 0.1, APG 0.1, 1 steals, 0 blocks
 


 
*******************************************************************

South Florida Starters

 
10 Courtney Williams 5'8" Senior Guard 
 
Courtney Williams played all 40 minutes in the first matchup. she scored 26 points and at 5'8" amazingly grabbed 13 rebounds. What a terrific player.
 
28 games - MPG 34.6, FG% .429, 3PT% .400, PPG 22.0, RPG 8.9, APG 2.9, 37 steals, 24 blocks

 

24 Alisia Jenkins 6'1" Senior Forward
 
 Alisa Jenkins did not play in the first matchup
 
22 games - MPG 31.4, FG% .490, 3PT% .333, PPG 10.1, RPG 12.0, APG 1.2, 21 steals, 15 blocks  

45 Katelyn Weber 6'5" Junior Center
 
Weber didn't score in 20 minutes in the first matchup. She didn't take a shot either. She grabbed 3 rebounds.    
 
24 games - MPG 12.5, FG% .600, 3PT% .000, PPG 2.2, RPG 2.1 APG 0.3, 0 steals, 52 blocks


33  Kitija Laska 6' Freshman Forward
  
 Laska was terrific in the first game against UConn. She was 5-7 on threes in scoring her 17 points and she also grabbed 6 rebounds in 39 minutes.
 
26 games - MPG 27.8, FG% .403, 3PT% .424, PPG 13.4, RPG 2.5 APG 1.4, 9 steals, 14 blocks 

 
22 Laia Flores 5'7" Sophomore Guard
 
Flores only played 11 minutes against UConn the first time. She managed to put up 5 shots, but she didn't make any including two threes. She was scoreless but did manage a rebound.
 
28 games - MPG 14.5, FG% .301, 3PT% .206, PPG 2.1, RPG 1.6 APG 3.8, 59 steals, 16 blocks

 
South Florida Bench

 
20 Laura Ferreira 5'11" Sophomore Forward
 
   Ferreira started in the first UConn game in place of Jenkins and played a tough 38 minutes. She used all four of the fouls she had very well. She only got caught 4 times...lol. She scored 7 points on 2-10 from the field but she was 2-5 on threes.
 
   22 games - MPG 31.9, FG% .389 3PT% .326, PPG 10.8, RPG 4.9, APG 1.4, 21 steals, 9 blocks

23 Shaleth Stringfield 5'6 Senior Guard
 
Stringfield played 29 minutes and scored 7 points in the first matchup. She handed out 6 assists and only had one turnover.
 
 
28 games MPG 23.9, FG% .388, 3PT% .361, PPG 9.5, RPG 2.9, APG 3.7, 39 steals, 2 blocks
 

12 Maria Jespersen 6'0" Sophomore Forward
  
Jesperson played 14 minutes in the first matchup with UConn and was scoreless going 0-2 from the field. She grabbed 3 rebounds.  
 
28 games - MPG 22.4, FG% .467, 3PT% .294, PPG 6.8, RPG 4.5 APG 0.5, 13 steals, 4 blocks

11 Ariadna Pujol 6'1" Junior Guard/Forward
 
Pujol did not play in the first matchup.
 
24 games - MPG 7.8, FG% .425, 3PT% .278, PPG 2.5, RPG 1.0, APG .5, 5 steal, 2 blocks



 Game Analysis
 
Courtney Williams is still leading South Florida. The all-everything, all-AAC guard and one of the best in the country leads the team in scoring and steals, 2nd in rebounds. She has taken twice as many shots than any other player on the team. She put up 26, 25 and 22 shots last year against UConn. She put up another 25 in the first matchup.

In the first matchup, Alisia Jenkins was out with an injury. South Florida will welcome her back to hit the boards and hit them hard as she averages over 12 rebounds a game. But South Florida might have another important player out in this game. The Bull's new weapon, Kitija Laska, their 6' freshman forward from Latvia has missed her last two games with an ankle sprain. I have not heard if she will be available for Monday night's game. She had little mini-slump before getting injured but clearly she has the ability to make a lot of threes and changes how UConn has to defend USF.    

South Florida handles the ball better than they did last year where they had 90 more TO's than assists. But UConn will still pressure them as much as possible, in the full court and half court.

What USF brings is a tough and tenacious man-to-man pressure defense. They have done a great job shutting down the opposing offenses and did a nice job holding UConn to 13 points under their scoring average.

As I said UConn will put a lot of pressure on the USF offense and they held them to 59 points in the first game. UConn's defense has only allowed 34, 41, 41, and 40 the last four games. I expect UConn to stifle USF as much as they did the first time they met back in early January.

Offensively, UConn dominated the paint in the first matchup. Stewart and Tuck took turns posting up but with Jenkins playing in this game USF will do better in that regard.  But UConn has Katie Lou really turning it on and that is a big difference in this game shooting the three.

Final Prediction
  
As I always say, it's about match ups. And even with  Jenkins, USF just can't match up with UConn. I said before the first meeting that couldn't see USF scoring more than 60 points and that proved to be accurate. If Laska is out, it will be even tougher offensively for the Bulls. I thought that UConn and Jefferson would slow down Williams, but she is almost unstoppable. She will get her shots and hit plenty of them.  

What USF has going for it is the confidence of playing UConn tough most times they play. They feel they can beat UConn especially with Jenkins back and if Laska plays. But it's just not to be. UConn's defense will again hold South Florida to under 60 and I believe UConn will crack 80 in this game.

UConn by 20+.
 

No comments:

Post a Comment