Tuesday, December 29, 2015

DoggyDaddy's UConn/Cincinnati Pre Game Report



 
UCONN @ Cincinnati
Day: Wednesday
Date: December 30th, 2015
Location: Fifth Third Arena
Time: 7:00
TV: SNY
 

 
                                         
 
No. 1 UConn Huskies                           Cincinnati Bearcats
           10-0                                                                                        4-7

Prior Meetings

UConn leads the series 14-0

1/12/06 W 92-71 Home
1/30/07 W 70-60 Away
1/19/08 W 86-49 Home
1/24/09 W 65-34 Away
1/7/10 W 83-51 Home
1/29/11 W 80-46 Away
1/19/12 W 80-37 Home
1/26/13 W 67-31 Home
12/29/13 W 67-34 Home
2/1/14 W 86-39 Away
3/8/14 W 72-42 Neutral
1/25/15 W 96-31 Away
2/3/15 W 96-36 Home
3/7/15 W 93-35 Neutral

Last Years AAC Quarterfinal Game Highlights

Team Overviews

UConn comes off a tough well earned win against No. 6 Maryland 83-73. UConn really stuggled early with turnovers and defending the paint the entire game. Their shooting was off and overall, they just didn't look good. Oh, and they still won by 10 against a terrific Maryland team.

Cincinnati won their first 4 games of the season. But since then, they have lost 7 of 8 games for a 5-7 record. Last season, they had 5 wins and 13 losses coming into the first UConn game. The seem to be improved but not enough to challenge the good teams in WCBB. They lost by 40 to Michigan State and 29 against Ohio State. But they did stay with the rest of the teams they have met including a decent Georgia team before losing by 18. They have improved since last season but how much is the question.  
 
Stat by Stat Comparison
 
 
 Leader is bolded. 
 
                         UConn                                               Cincinnati
 
                                           87.7         Points Per Game                     62.2
                                           55.3         Opp Points Per Game             73.4
                                           .530         Field Goal %                           .348
                                           .371         Opp Field Goal %                   .452
                                           .347         3 Point Field Goal %              .302
                                           .358         Opp 3 Point Field Goal %      .327
                                           .746         Free Throw %                         .648
                                            39.2         Rebounds Per Game               37.3
                                            30.3         Opp Rebounds Per Game       41.5
                                            22.2         Assists Per Game                   11.3
                                            13.1         Turnovers Per Game              15.3
                                              1.7         Assists/Turnover Ratio            .7
                                            13.1         Steals Per Game                      7.4
                                              5.6         Blocks Per Game                    2.2
 

 
 
UConn Starters
 
30 Breanna Stewart 
6'4" Senior Forward

One more time, the best player in the game. Time after time she made a big play for UConn against Maryland.
 
2015-16 Stats
9 Games - MPG 32.3, FG% .616, 3PT% .448, PPG 22.9 RPG 7.1, APG 4.7, 20 steals, 28 blocks
 
3 Morgan Tuck
6'2" RS Junior Forward


Steady, steady and more steady. Her shooting percentage is up to 53%.
 
2015-16 Stats
  10 Games - MPG 31.4, FG% .533, 3PT% .348, PPG 15.5, RPG 5.8, APG 3.7, 9 steals, 6 blocks

4 Moriah Jefferson
5'7" Senior Guard

Leading this team in many ways, Jefferson had a ESPN top ten play to end the half against Maryland.
 
2015-16 Stats
   10 Games - MPG 32.6, FG% .563, 3PT% .343, PPG 13.5, RPG 2.9, APG 5.9, 27 steals, 0 blocks

 
11 Kia Nurse
6' Sophomore Guard
   
  Another tough outing for Nurse in the Maryland game. Her saving grace is her terrific defense.
     
 
2015-16 Stats
   10 Games - MPG 28.6, FG% .458, 3PT% .355, PPG 10.2, RPG 2.5, APG 3.2, 19 steals, 1 block
 

24 Napheesa Collier
6'1 Freshman Forward/Guard
  
 Not a good game against Maryland with four turnovers. This should be a good chance to do better. 
 
2015-16 Stats
   10 Games - MPG 20.8 FG% .462, 3PT% .000, PPG 6.0, RPG 6.4, APG 1.0, 24 steals, 11 blocks


UConn Bench



12 Saniya Chong
5'8" Junior Guard

What a great 11 minutes by Saniya. A big steal and layup in the first half and a game sealing three pointer with 42 seconds left in the game. She can be a big part of the gameplan if she can hit threes at a 42% clip.
 
 
2015-16 Stats
   8 Games - MPG 11.3, FG% .474, 3PT% .417, PPG 3.4, RPG 1.0, APG .5, 2 steals, 2 blocks
 
 
15 Gabby Williams
5'11" Sophomore Forward

Gabby struggled in limited minutes against Maryland. I'm sure she was disappointed. Hoping for a bounce back against the Bearcats.  
 
 
2015-16 Stats
   10 Games - MPG 18.8, FG% .591, 3PT% .000, PPG 8.8 RPG 6.4, APG 1.0, 19 steals, 7 blocks 
 
 
33 Katie Lou Samuelson
6'3" Freshman Guard/Forward
 
A couple of turnovers in the first half kept her out of the game for long periods against Maryland. She hit a contested three and missed the rest even though she was wide open. She makes those in her sleep. Time to get it together over the next four games.

 
2015-16 Stats
   9 Games - MPG 18.1, FG% .393, 3PT% .250, PPG 7.1, RPG 2.7, APG 1.9, 9 steals, 0 blocks
 
 
22 Courtney Ekmark
6' Sophomore Guard

Did not play against Maryland. It's clear she will only see action due to injury or against weak opponents.
  
2015-16 Stats
   7 Games - MPG 10.7, FG% .615, 3PT% .429, PPG 3.0, RPG 1.4, APG 0.9, 2 steals, 1 block
 
20 Tierney Lawlor
5'7" Junior Guard

DNP against Maryland
 

2015-16 Stats
   7 Games - MPG 3.0, FG% 1.000, 3PT% 1.000, PPG 1.3, RPG 0.1, APG 0.3, 0 steals, 0 blocks

22 Briana Pulido 
5'7" Senior Guard

 DNP against Maryland

2015-16 Stats
   6 Games - MPG 2.2, FG% .200, 3PT% .200, PPG 0.0, RPG 0.0, APG 0.2, 0 steals, 0 blocks

Out for the game?

 
51 Natalie Butler
6'5" RS Sophomore Center

I am so over her not playing. It's time Natalie!!!! It's time.


UCONN TEAM STATS 

 

*******************************************************************
 
Cincinnati Bearcats
 
 
Head Coach Jamelle Elliott
 
Ok...I'll say it. I love Jamelle's new haircut. She looks GREAT. So, how much can I say about her that most UConn fans don't know? Probably nothing. But here are some facts about her and Cincinnati.
 
Here are some quotes from back when she was hired. Some really nice words. And some facts from the Cincinnati site.
 
Jamelle is a former student-athlete and assistant coach at Connecticut, was named the University of Cincinnati's eighth head women's basketball coach on May 5, 2009. She enters her seventh campaign in 2015-16.
 
Elliott spent the better part of two decades with the Connecticut women's basketball program and Hall of Fame head coach Geno Auriemma, the last 12 years as an assistant coach. She has been a part of six national championships, including the Huskies' 2009 undefeated championship run, and won a title as a player, helping UConn to the 1995 championship, the first in the school's history.
 
After graduating from Connecticut with a degree in business management in 1996, Elliott went on to earn her graduate degree in sports management at UConn in 1997. Elliott, a native of Washington, D.C., was named to the Washington Post all-Metro Team as well as being named Scholar-Athlete at H.D. Woodson High School.
 
      
Cincinnati Starters

03 Ana Owens
5'6" Sophomore Guard

Ana started each of the season's 31 games and averaged team bests of 11.7 points and 2.5 assists per game. She was named to the American Athletic Conference All-Freshman Team. 
 
2015-16 Stats
 11 games - MPG 34.7, FG% .359, 3PT% .412, PPG 14.9, RPG 3.6, APG 3.5, 12 steals, 1 block
 
 
23 Jasmine Whitfield
 5'10" Senior Guard
 
Jasmine started each of the season's 31 games and averaged 9.9 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 1.7 assists.  
 
2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 30.8, FG% .372, 3PT% .329, PPG 14.0, RPG 6.4, APG 1.9, 12 steals, 3 blocks
 
 
 
12 Alyesha Lovett
6'0" RS Senior Guard
 
Lovett sat out last season with a medical redshirt. In her previous season she was one of only two players to start all 31 games and averaged 10.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.1 steals per game. She was twice named to the American Conference Weekly Honor Roll.  
  
 2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 31.4, FG% .362, 3PT% .179, PPG 10.0, RPG 5.5, APG 2.5, 21 steals, 9 blocks
 
22 Bianca Quisenberry
 5'8" Junior Guard
 
Bianca appeared in 30 games, starting 23 and averaged 4.7 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 1.4 assists.

2015-16 Stats
9 games - MPG 28.0, FG% .330, 3PT% .226, PPG 9.0, RPG 4.8, APG 1.8, 18 steals, 2 blocks
 
  
 
32 Shelbi Chandler
 6'3" Senior Forward
 
Chandler played in 30 games including making her only start of the season at UT Martin (11/19) and  averaged 0.9 points and 1.7 rebounds.
2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 19.6, FG% .412, 3PT% .000, PPG 3.6, RPG 2.8, APG .5, 3 steals, 2 blocks 
 
Cincinnati Bench 
 
 
02 Nikira Goings
5'9" Freshman Guard 
 
 
2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 15.5, FG% .279, 3PT% .276, PPG 4.5, RPG 1.9, APG .7, 9 steals, 1 block

  
 
20 Maya Benham
 6'0" Freshman Guard
 
 Benham was ranked as the No. 16 wing according to ESPN HoopGurlz. 
 
2015-16 Stats
10 games - MPG 11.3, FG% .407, 3PT% .333, PPG 2.9, RPG 1.6, APG .3, 3 steals, 2 blocks
 
 
13 Brandey Tarver
 5'10" Junior Guard
 
Brandey played in all 31 games, starting seven and averaged 3.6 points and 3.3 rebounds.
 
2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 14.9, FG% .214, 3PT% .000, PPG 2.1, RPG 2.4, APG .3, 1 steal, 3 blocks
 
 
25 Chelsea Warren
 6'1" Freshman Forward
 
 Warren was a McDonalds All-America nominee and Gatorade Player of the Year nominee.
 
2015-16 Stats
11 games - MPG 11.6, FG% .250, 3PT% .000, PPG 1.3, RPG 3.5, APG .2, 0 steals, 0 blocks
 
  
 
 
 Game Analysis
  
Right now, Cincinnati is starting four guards and one forward. They have three freshman  off the bench so I don't know how much Jamelle will play them. Their one forward off the bench is a freshman and only 6'1". I would imagine that Coach Elliott will play a zone for most of the game and force UConn to the outside as much as possible. Especially since UConn is shooting almost 5 percent lower from distance than last season. UConn will want fast break at every chance before the Cincinnati defense can set up.

But the talent discrepancy is just too much for the Bearcats to handle. It just won't matter what they do. UConn will just run it's offense, practice plays, take the best shot and then defend the hell out of the ball on the other end.

Cincinnati shoots only 34.8% from the field and 30.2% on 3's. What makes it worse it that they are a terrible ball handling team. They have only 124 assists this season and 168 turnovers.  They will not do well against UConn's pressure defense.        
 
Final Prediction
  
Last year I predicted a 45+ margin of victory. I figured Geno would ease up on Jamelle. Stop pressing, hold up on the fast breaks and just take it easy on Cincinnati.  

Of course, sometimes it just won't matter and the players are just that much better. And last year proved that. In spite of holding back after a big lead the scores last year in their three games the scores were almost identical. 96-31, 96-36, and 93-35.

Who am I to argue. UConn by 60+.    

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