Sunday, March 20, 2016

Doggydaddy's UConn/Duquesne Pre Game Report



 
UCONN Vs. Duquesne
Day: Monday
Date: March 21, 2016
Location: Storrs, Ct
Time: 9:00 PM
TV: ESPN2
 

                                        
 

1 seed UConn Huskies                                9 seed Duquesne
           33-0                                                           28-5
 
Overview

Duquesne earned their spot against UConn with a great 97-76 win over Seton Hall. They played a very UConn like game, shooting 48% from the field and  43% on threes along with 20-23 from the free throw line. A 28-5 record is nothing to sneeze about, but when you look deeper, you see that they have played a pretty weak schedule. The A-10 is not a great conference and Duquesne's out of conference schedule was even weaker. They have played 5 NCAA tournament teams in George Washington (twice), Princeton, St. Bonnies, and St. John's, beating only the Johnnies to go 1-4 against the best teams on their schedule. 
 
UConn played their best quarter of the season if not several seasons in taking a 41-4 lead after 10 minutes against Robert Morris in the first round of the NCAA tournament. They even blew Geno's mind with their performance. I'm sure they are hoping they can keep it up. 
 
Stat by Stat Comparison

 Leader is bolded. 
 
                         UConn                                          Duquesne
 
                                           88.0         Points Per Game                     72.4
                                           47.9         Opp Points Per Game             61.1
                                           .526         Field Goal %                           .411
                                           .332         Opp Field Goal %                   .363
                                           .370         3 Point Field Goal %              .337
                                           .311         Opp 3 Point Field Goal %      .274
                                           .803         Free Throw %                         .736
                                            40.8        Rebounds Per Game                42.6
                                            29.5         Opp Rebounds Per Game       38.6
                                            21.6         Assists Per Game                   16.7
                                            11.9         Turnovers Per Game              14.4
                                              1.8         Assists/Turnover Ratio            1.2
                                            12.5         Steals Per Game                      6.9
                                              6.4         Blocks Per Game                    4.2
 



UConn Starters
 
30 Breanna Stewart 
6'4" Senior Forward

NCAA Game 1 - 20 minutes, 18 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assist, 0 TO, 8 steals, 3 blocks

Eight steals?? Stewart is supremely motivated and that means trouble for everyone else.
 
2015-16 Stats
32 Games - MPG 28.3, FG% .584, 3PT% .409, PPG 19.1 RPG 8.2, APG 4.0, 61 steals, 110 blocks
 
3 Morgan Tuck
6'2" RS Junior Forward

NCAA Game 1 - 20 minutes, 13 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assist, 1 TO, 2 steals
 
2015-16 Stats
  28 Games - MPG 25.7, FG% .498, 3PT% .288, PPG 12.5, RPG 5.8, APG 3.2, 22 steals, 8 blocks

4 Moriah Jefferson
5'7" Senior Guard

NCAA Game 1 - 23 minutes, 14 points, 0 rebounds, 5 assist, 1 TO, 2 steals
 
2015-16 Stats
   32 Games - MPG 30.4, FG% .555, 3PT% .402, PPG 12.6, RPG 2.6, APG 5.4, 85 steals, 6 blocks

11 Kia Nurse
6' Sophomore Guard   

NCAA Game 1 - 27 minutes, 14 points, 0 rebounds, 6 assist, 0 TO, 4 steals
 
2015-16 Stats
   33 Games - MPG 27.6, FG% .438, 3PT% .359, PPG 9.5, RPG 1.8, APG 2.8, 49 steals, 6 blocks

33 Katie Lou Samuelson
6'3" Freshman Guard/Forward

NCAA Game 1 - 25 minutes, 22 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, 2 TO, 2 steals

One more big three point shooting game and she will be over 40%. Amazing.
 
 2015-16 Stats
   33 Games - MPG 23.4, FG% .492, 3PT% .394, PPG 11.2, RPG 3.4, APG 2.3, 37 steals, 5 blocks


UConn Bench
 
15 Gabby Williams
5'11" Sophomore Forward

 NCAA Game 1 - 22 minutes, 2 points, 5 rebounds, 1 steal 
 
2015-16 Stats
   33 Games - MPG 19.1, FG% .641, 3PT% .000, PPG 9.2 RPG 5.8, APG 1.4, 65 steals, 12 blocks 
 
24 Napheesa Collier
6'1 Freshman Forward/Guard

NCAA Game 1 - 21 minutes, 14 points, 9 rebounds, 1assist, 1 block 
 
2015-16 Stats
   33 Games - MPG 17.7, FG% .529, 3PT% .222, PPG 6.7, RPG 5.5, APG .9, 46 steals, 43 blocks

51 Natalie Butler
6'5" RS Sophomore Center

NCAA Game 1 - 2 points, 1 block, 1 TO
 
2015-16 Stats
   22 Games - MPG 13.4, FG% .573, 3PT% .000, PPG 6.4, RPG 4.5, APG .9, 13 steals, 18 blocks
 
12 Saniya Chong
5'8" Junior Guard
    
NCAA game 1 - 12 minutes, 2 points, 1 rebounds, 4 TO  
 
2015-16 Stats
   28 Games - MPG 13.8, FG% .402, 3PT% .357, PPG 4.0, RPG 1.5, APG 1.1, 18 steals, 2 blocks
 
 
22 Courtney Ekmark
6' Sophomore Guard
   
NCAA Game 1 - 13 minutes, 1 assists, 2 TO, 2 steals  
 
2015-16 Stats
   29 Games - MPG 9.6, FG% .444, 3PT% .371, PPG 2.2, RPG 1.2, APG .8, 12 steals, 1 block
 
20 Tierney Lawlor
5'7" Junior Guard


NCAA Game 1 - 3 minutes, 1 turnover

2015-16 Stats
  26 Games - MPG 3.2, FG% .429, 3PT% .400, PPG .3, RPG 0.1, APG 0.2, 1 steals, 0 blocks

22 Briana Pulido 
5'7" Senior Guard

NCAA Game 1 - 3 minutes, 1 rebound
 
2015-16 Stats
   23 Games - MPG 2.7, FG% .176, 3PT% .100, PPG 0.3, RPG 0.1, APG 0.1, 1 steals, 0 blocks
 






Duquesne Head Coach Dan Burt
 
Dan Burt was named head coach of the Duquesne women's basketball program on April 27, 2013. Burt is coming off his second season as head coach. They finished third in the A-10 and had one of the most successful years in program history recording the most league wins (12) in team history. Overall, the Dukes' 23 victories was the third-most for the program all-time. He is said to pattern his program after Geno and UConn and when you watch them play, you can see how he is doing that.   
 
Duquesne Starters
 
 
32 April Robinson
5'8" Senior Guard
 
NCAA Game 1 - 35 minutes, 15 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists, 3 steals, 6 TO 
 
2015-16 Stats
 MPG 35.1, FG% .365, 3PT% .298, PPG 14.9, RPG 5.9, APG 6.5, 63 steals, 7 blocks
 
2 Deva'Nyar Workman 
5'10" Senior Guard
  
NCAA Game 1 - 30 minutes, 25 points, 12 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal, 1 TO
 
2015-16 Stats
   MPG 29.5, FG% .452, 3PT% .382, PPG 14.2, RPG 9.3, APG 3.3, 52 steals, 17 blocks
 
 
15 Amadea Szamosi 
6'3" Junior Forward
  
NCAA Game 1 - 31 minutes, 16 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, 2 steals, 2 TO
 
 MPG 31.3, FG% .446, 3PT% .410, PPG 11.8, RPG 7.6, APG 1.2, 29 steals, 24 blocks

42 Kadri-Ann Lass
6'3" Freshman Guard/Forward
 
NCAA Game 1 - 33 minutes, 20 points, 0 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, 1 TO
 
2015-16 Stats
MPG 32.3, FG% .454, 3PT% .324, PPG 11.2, RPG 5.9, APG 1.6, 17 steals, 64 blocks

45 Emilie Gronas
5'7" Senior Guard
 
 NCAA Game 1 - 23 minutes, 5 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 2 TO 
 
2015-16 Stats
MPG 25.2, FG% .382, 3PT% .341, PPG 6.2, RPG 2.5, APG 1.8, 18 steals, 1 blocks
 
Duquesne Bench
 
4 Chasiddy Omogrosso
5'6" Freshman Guard
  
NCAA Game 1 - 27 minutes, 7 points, 1 rebounds, 0 assists, 1 steals, 2 TO
 
2015-16 Stats
   MPG 22.9, FG% .413, 3PT% .376, PPG 8.7, RPG 2.1, APG 1.2, 20 steals, 1 block

55 Brianna Thomas
6' Junior Guard
 
NCAA Game 1 - 11 minutes, 4 points, 1 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 0 TO

2015-16 Stats
   MPG 8.9, FG% .389, 3PT% .000, PPG 1.7, RPG 1.4, APG 0.2, 7 steals, 5 blocks

Duquesne TEAM STATS


 Game Analysis

While I didn't stay to watch Duquesne beat Seton Hall Saturday, I did watch on ESPN3 Sunday morning to get a feel for how they play. And they play very well. Of course, it was against Seton Hall, who I thought was fortunate to be in the tournament but still.....

The Dukes (too close to Duke for my taste) play a very similar style to UConn. They run a motion offense, setting multiple screens off the ball to free up shooters. And they have shooters at every position.

Robinson, their point guard handed out 7 assists against the Hall, but she also had 6 turnovers. She was not comfortable with Seton Hall's pressure defense. She is very good at running their offense. She is going to have a tough time with Jefferson in her grill.

Their best player, at least in the SH game was Workman. She is a TOUGH 6' guard that can take the ball to the basket and hit from the outside. And boy does she rebound. I can't wait to see her and Nurse matched up. Both Workman and Robinson will see 35+ minutes. UConn will try to wear them down.

I really like the two "Bigs" that the Dukes play. 6'3" Szamosi plays like a traditional forward, but she can hit the occasional three. She is not a banger, but will battle in the post as best she can. She will struggle to defend Tuck if they are matched up. The 6'3" freshman Lass, is more like a Katie Lou type forward. She started her offense from the outside in. She has a good handle and loves the open three. I really like her game. She moves well for a big girl and has a great future ahead of her.

Duquesne loves to, often throwing long passes to start their fast break. I saw them run off of made baskets, something right out of the UConn playbook. The Huskies will have to be ready at all times to prevent that from happening.

On defense, again, the Dukes like to play similar to UConn with a tough switching man to man. They put on full court zone pressure as well looking to take time off the clock for the other team to run their offense and possibly force a few turnovers. They have the players to do that very effectively against most teams. But UConn is not most teams.

Duquesne really only goes 6 deep, with the four players I mentioned already along with freshman guard Omogrosso, who had 24 minutes in the Seton Hall game. UConn will push and push, tiring out the limited roster of the Dukes.

UConn is coming off a devastating performance against Robert Morris, propelled by a dominating defense. And they will look to do that against a more talented Duquesne team, who has a well drilled offense game plan. UConn will press early, forcing Robinson into mistakes and trying to get the Dukes out of their rhythm.

On offense, UConn will run first and then pound them inside where the Huskies have a big advantage. While the Dukes had two 6'3" players, they don't have a lot of bulk. UConn will post Tuck and Stewart and look for kick outs for threes. If UConn is hitting those shots, it could get ugly early.  

UConn will bring in Williams and Collier off the bench and they will make a huge difference in this game. I like the little guard off the bench for Duquesne, Omogrosso but she is just too small and not quick enough to make much of an impact.        
 

 Final Prediction
  
Duquesne is an excellent Mid-Major team. They play a terrific offense scheme, and tough D. But they have never seen anything like this UConn team. It's hard to believe that the best team in the country has another gear. Scary for the rest of the field.

UConn will pressure them until they are grabbing the shorts, bent over at the waist. The Huskies are just bigger, stronger, and quicker. Now, the Dukes will get their share of open shots, and will probably make more than I would like. Everyone they put on the court can shoot. But there is no way that is enough.

I figure UConn will get to their season averages in this one. Somewhere in the 88-48 range.

UConn by 40+.      
  
 

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