Saturday, December 3, 2022

Doggy's Doghouse 12/3/2022

 



 



                                                                                                                          
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GO UCONN!!!!!

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If you haven't seen it here is my UConn/Notre Dame Pregame Report

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Allie Ziebell

What a great start to the 2024 recruiting class. Allie Ziebell, a 5'11" shooting guard committed to the Huskies via twitter.

The No. 5 recruit in the Hoopgurlz rankings for 2024, she is also the No. 1 shooting guard in that class.

I'm so excited for this young lady. Her skill level, both physically and mentally, fits the Huskies profile to a tea. 

From SBNation - "She doesn’t necessarily look the part but just finds ways to score as a smart, crafty player. Ziebell possess impressive court vision and can get wherever she wants to on the court with and without the ball. She’s tough when driving to the rim but can also pull up and hit shots from the outside." 


Here are some tweets with some great videos. Enjoy!!! You all will love this player!!!

Great video of Allie against the toughest competition

2021 UAA Finals MVP


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I don't want ot leave out the incredible class of 2023. So enjoy these videos!! Arnold, Alfy, Samiuel and Shade.  
And from our very own Phil!!!!
 

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GAMES

UPSETS IN RED

No. 15 UCLA UC Santa Barbara (Late Game)

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Straight from the Dog

Lots of Top 25 games on Sunday but most of them are mismatches.

We do have UConn/Notre Dame as the highlight of the day.

I'm interested in the Tennessee vs No. 11 Viriginia Tech. I wrote about that game in yesterday's blog. GO VT!!!!

LSU has another weak opponent in Tulane, but it is a state rivalry game. I'm pulling hard for Tulane. Mulkey's soft schedule is really annoying!

No. 23 Gonzaga is visiting No. 2 Stanford. GO BULLDOGS!! But don't count on an upset here. 
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No. 1 South Carolina beat up on the inside against Memphis, using their height advantage to defeat the Tigers 79-54. 

Once again the bigs on South Carolina dominated. 6'5" Boston, 6'7" Cardoso, 6'4" Amihere and 6'3" Feigan scored 53 of the teams 79 points. They did this going 21-36 from the field and 11-14 on free throws. 

How did the guards do? The three starters were 4-15 from the field, 0-2 on threes for 11 points.

The bench wasn't much better with four players going 4-12 from the field, 1-3 on threes for 11 points.   

I suppose they showed you can win games with just the forwards producing. But it was their  guard Henderson who was the star of the game against UConn in the finals.

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By PHIL

Common Opponents

I made a comment in a thread:


So you're saying that Notre Dame didn't do as well against Arizona State as UMass did last night? I know, I know, drawing inferences from a common opponent is sketchy at best, but still…

DoggyDaddy asked me to elaborate.

Let’s start with the obvious. If you are interested in how Notre Dame stacks up against Connecticut, one very good piece of information will be delivered late Sunday afternoon, but let’s be serious, the implied question is what sorts of information are useful before the game? As an aside, it’s worth mentioning that even the result of the game on Sunday doesn’t completely answer the question of which team is better, it simply answers who prevailed in that particular game. I am sure every one of us have watched a game where at the end we said “the better team lost.”

A few years ago, I was looking at the results of common opponents and some fan whose name I don’t recall took umbrage with the analysis. I didn’t pretend then and I don’t pretend now that examining the results of a single common opponent fully answers the question. For one thing, you must think about the timing of that game — was it relatively recent or a long time ago, were some players out for either side in those games, or were there players involved in those games that will be unavailable in the upcoming game? Were the games home, away, or on neutral courts? Was Carolyn Peck doing the announcing? Some of those things such as location can be adjusted for, while others such as missing or returning personnel are harder to quantify.

What I’d really like to have is a common opponent — a team that both Notre Dame and Connecticut have played, without too many complications but there is no such game yet. Notre Dame will play NC State later, but that doesn’t help us now (although NC State will be looking at the relative performance when they assess their chances against Notre Dame).

The game I looked at is one step removed from a common opponent. Arizona State and UMass have a common opponent in Notre Dame, but that gives us some information about Notre Dame without necessarily telling us how Notre Dame would stack up against Connecticut.

UMass beat Arizona State by 24, while Notre Dame only beat them by 20. Now, I don’t really think that means UMass is four points better than Notre Dame, but it is a single relevant data point. It’s particularly intriguing for reasons other than the statistical. Arizona State has a strong historical resume, and that affects how you think about them even if they are not the same team they have been in the past. Even more so, UMass does not conjure up the term “powerhouse”, so the selection has a psychological impact over and above the pure numbers.

I think it’s well-known that I’m a fan of the Massey stats. Walking through the math of the Massey formula will make most people’s eyes glaze over, but you can think of Massey in terms of looking at common opponents. When a team has a common opponent, you can look at both games and use the results as a single data point with some weight. If they don’t have a direct common opponent, look at the results against two teams who do have a common opponent and that’s a single data point with a lot less weight. Rinse and repeat for all combinations where the weights get smaller and smaller the further removed you are from the team in question. The good news is while this would be incredibly tedious to do manually, you can let a computer run off and do all of these calculations in fractions of a second. In essence the Massey rating is a result of looking at all of these comparisons with the appropriate weights.

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By David in Naples


Filling in for David - 

UCONN

First in FG Percentage at 53.85
Third in 3PT FG Percentage at 42.74  
Eighth in scoring at 89 PPG
Sixth in Assist/TO Ratio
First in Assists per game

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