Thursday, January 19, 2023

Doggy's Doghouse 1/19/2023

 






 




Barrett wearing a hand-me-down from Logan.

That's how old that picture of Logan is!

GO UCONN!!!!!

************************************************

Well, still no word on the three players out with injuries. Fudd had her tests and I'm sure they know her availability. Hopefully they will share at the presser they usually have the day before the game. That would be Friday! Stay tuned.


************************************************
    
 
***********************************************

I can't wait to see her in a UConn Uniform!!!!

 

************************************************
Straight from the Dog


I watched the second half of the LSU-Arkansas game and the trash talking by Angel Reese was just over the top. Don't get me wrong, she is an amazing talent. Impossible to stop 1-1. You have to bring a second defender early to get the ball out of her hands. 

But, she is constantly yapping. After a block of an Arkansas layup attempt, she received a technical foul for taunting. And on subsequent baskets (on really great spin moves), she profiles for the camera saying "you can't guard me.

It's just so unnecessary. Just be more like Moore. Maya that is. Humble. 

The game itself was just fun to watch. LSU had a lead as big as 14 points but Arkansas wouldn't go away. They actually clawed back to take a lead at 73-72 with 2 minutes left in the game. But it wasn't to be as LSU regained the lead with 1:30 remaining and held on by making their free throws for the 79-76 win. Reese had 30 points and 17 rebounds for the Tigers.  

Now, will LSU drop a spot for almost losing to an unranked team? Doubtful. 

**************************************************



By PHIL

UConn Seton Hall


I won’t be the first to tell you that the game against Seton Hall was a very good game. Some people who know what they’re talking about (Geno Auriemma) have already said this. However, they are generally discussing the eye test, occasionally throwing in a few relevant stats.

I’m going to discuss a stat that I believe is the best single measure.

No, I don’t mean total points scored, or we would be arguing that LSU’s win over Bellarmine by a score of 125 to 50 means it was a great game. Nor am I going to argue that margin of victory is the best metric or we would be, if I may repeat myself, be talking about LSU’s 75 point margin of victory as great game.

Now, I suggest that the margin over the expected result is the best metric. LSU was expected to be Bellarmine by 47 points, and yes, they exceeded that by a fair margin, but UConn’s victory was more impressive.

Not surprisingly, UConn was expected to win the game. Even though it was on Seton Hall’s home-court, and they aren’t even a ranked team, Massey projected a margin of victory of 13 points. UConn’s actual results of 103 – 58 meant UConn won by 45 which was 32 points better than expected.

That’s a lot

I get that this isn’t a metric that people look at every day so let’s put it in perspective.

Many of us were impressed by UConn’s win over St. John’s, a decent team recently ranked, but Massey expected us to win by 18, the Huskies won by 30 so they over performed by 12 points. That’s still a decent margin but not in the same neighborhood as 32.

The second-best performances by the Huskies were against a relatively weak Northeastern team, where UConn was expected to win by 40, actually won by 59 so over performed by 19. Tied for second place, and arguably more impressive because it was a better opponent, was the game against Duke, where the Huskies were projected to win by 9 and won by 28 so also over performed by 19.

Let’s see how some other teams stack up.

Some prognosticators don’t think the Huskies resume is as good as Stanford’s.

One of Stanford’s better games was against FGCU, but Massey projected a 17-point win. Stanford ended up winning by 25 so they over performed by 8.

However, let’s look at some other games.

Stanford beat Cal at home by 21 points, 90 – 69, but Massey projected that they’d win 78 – 57, so the projection was a win by 21 and it came in exactly that. It qualifies as a good win but it came in exactly as expected. In contrast, when Stanford played Cal at their place they did win, but their expected margin of victory was 16 and they only won by four which means they underperformed by 12 points.

Of course, we know recently that they lost to USC. Massey projected they’d win that by 10 and they lost by nine which means they underperformed by 19 points. They beat Tennessee at home by 7 points but they were projected to win by 10 so that when was actually an under performance by three points.

They did have a big win against San Diego State 86 – 48 winning by 38 points but Massey had them winning by 32 so this was over performance, but only by six points.

Caveat, I haven’t calculated every single Stanford game, but glancing at the results I don’t see any candidates for an over performance anywhere near UConn’s 32.

What about LSU?

The most recent game was against the mighty SEC game where they beat Auburn by 30 points 84 – 54. Massey projected them to win by 17, so they did overperform, but by 13 points. A very decent result not close to UConn territory.

They beat a stronger Missouri team by 20 points. The projected margin of victory was nine, so this comes in as an over performance by 11 points. Again good, even very good, but not UConn good.

They beat Texas A&M by 40 surely that’s an impressive result? Today’s Texas A&M is not your father’s Texas A&M, LSU was expected to win by 17. That does turn into an impressive over performance of 23, one of their better results, but still not a match for UConn.

As with Stanford, I haven’t calculated every one of the results, and I’ll be happy to look at more if someone points out something that looks like good rival UConn’s result.

How about South Carolina?

LSU beats Missouri by 20 but South Carolina beat them by 31. However, South Carolina is a stronger team, and was projected to win by 24. The 31-point win qualifies as over performing but only by seven points.

South Carolina’s win over Auburn is worth discussing. They were expected to win by 30 and ended up winning by 52, so this is a 22 point over performance. Excellent, but not UConn excellent.

Who am I missing?

I honestly expected to find one or two other games in the same neighborhood as UConn’s when and ensure there are some somewhere, but I haven’t found one yet.

******************************************************** 

UCONN LINKS

Several links are pay sites. Sorry!


******************************************************** 

Message Boards

UConn Territory - The best UConn women's message board ever!!! 
Vol Nation - Tennessee women's basketball board
ND Nation - Notre Dame women's basketball board
Rebkell - WCBB for everyone that thinks they are smarter than everyone else

UCONN Information



I'm always open for suggestions. Just please reply to this blog or email me at:

Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)