Thursday, February 15, 2024

Doggy's UConn/Georgetown II Pregame Report

 




  No. 12 UConn Huskies                                     Georgetown Hoyas
   21-5 (13-0)                                                             16-9 (6-8) 

 Friday, February 16th 2024
Time: 7:00 PM
Gampel Pavilion
Storrs, Ct.  
TV: SNY 

Prior Meetings

GEORGETOWN | UCONN LEADS 53-6 
H: 26-2 | A: 21-4 | N: 6-0

Last Ten Games

02/26/11 #1 UConn 52, #18 Georgetown 42 Washington, D.C. 
03/06/11 #1 UConn 59, #23 Georgetown 43 Hartford, Conn. 
03/27/11 #1 UConn 68, #23 Georgetown 63 Philadelphia, Pa. 
02/11/12 #3 UConn 80, # 14 Georgetown 38 Storrs, Conn. 
01/09/13 #3 UConn 75, Georgetown 48 Washington, D.C. 
01/23/21 #3 UConn 72, Georgetown 41 Storrs, Conn
01/15/23 #4 UConn 65, Georgetown 50 Hartford, Conn. 
02/11/23 #4 UConn 67, Georgetown 59 Washington, D.C. 
03/04/23 #9 UConn 69, Georgetown 39 Uncasville, Conn.
1/7/2024 #12 UConn 83, Georgetown 55 Washington, D.C.

Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                   Georgetown  

                                              82.0        PPG                            58.3
                                              59.2        Defensive PPG            54.2
                                              22.8        Scoring Margin             4.1
                                              50.7        Field Goal %               39.8
                                              36.9        Defensive FG%           37.1 
                                              38.7        Three Point %             28.6
                                              30.1        Defensive 3PT%         29.1
                                              72.2        Free Throw %             69.8
                                              38.1        Rebounds/game           36.8
                                                5.7        Rebounding Margin       4.2 
                                              20.2        Assists per game          13.0
                                              13.1        Turnover per game       15.4
                                                1.5        Assists/TO ratio              .8
                                              10.1        Steals per game             6.9
                                                3.6        Blocks per game            3.9
  
 UCONN 




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Georgetown





Georgetown Starters




 Game Analysis

Here is what I said before the first match up. 

"These kinds of games, where UConn is playing one of the weaker teams in the conference, are always difficult to analyze. All I can do is lay out the stats and details. Not much analysis to explain. Their 12-2 record is very deceiving. They have a knack of winning close games against weak opponents. They love to Brown by 2 and beat Cal State Fullerton by 10, Kennesaw State by 2, DePaul by 4 and Butler by 5."   

Since the last time they met when UConn won 83-55, the Hoyas have gone 4-6. Their knack of winning close games has slipped a little and they lost a few games by double digits. 

The Hoyas are not a very good offensive team averaging  58.3 points per game down almost 2 points per game since the last match up. They have 325 assists on the season with 386 turnovers. They are shooting 39.8% from the field and 28.7% on threes. Still not good. 

Their strength is their defense as they hold their opponents to 54.2 PPG up 5 PPG from the last time they met and create 15.0 turnovers per game. 

Kelsey Ransom, a 5'10" senior guard, is Georgetown's best player. In 34.9 MPG she averages 13.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 2.2 steals. She is only shooting 25.7% on threes.  She leads the team in assists with 100 but she doesn't have a good assist/turnover ratio with 88 turnovers.  

Graceann Bennett is a 6'3" forward. She averages 9.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game and is a solid player.  She is the Hoyas' best big and the only player shooting 52.4% from the field.  

Victoria Rivera, 6’0” Sophomore Guard, is averaging 6.3 PPG. She leads the team in taking three pointers and averages 1.6 makes per game while shooting the three at 27.1%.

Arrial Jenkins, a 6'3" junior forward now starts.She averages 4.7 PPG and 3.1 RPG. 

Alex Cowan, a 5’7” Graduate Guard, is averaging 6.9 PPG and is second on team in assists and one of the few with a positive assist/turnover ratio. Alex is a very experienced college-level guard. She is second in MPG at 32.6.

The bench - 

Jada Claude, a 6' junior forward who averages 6.6 points and 2.9 rebounds per game. She is another transfer, this time from Morehead State where she was OVC all newcomer in her junior season. She had transferred from Duke where she didn't get much time in her career with the Blue Devils. 

Brianna Scott is a 6'4" Junior forward averaging 9 points and 6.4 rebounds and is the Hoyas best shot blocker. She will rotate with Bennett on the front line. 

Modesti McConnell is a 5'7" freshman guard. Her job is to give the two starting guards a few minutes rest each game. She only averages 1.5 PPG in 8 minutes. She might not even see time in this game. 

Strategy for Georgetown? Survival. With the talent discrepancy, they obviously have no shot at an upset. They just won't want to be embarrassed. The will be difficult for them to accomplish.  

Final Prediction

From my previous Game Report - "Georgetown is just way overmatched in this game. They are a poor shooting team going against a terrific defensive team. I can't see them scoring 50 points. UConn has settled in with the small lineup and they will give Georgetown fits with their pressure defense. The Huskies could approach 90 points. If the Hoyas can play inspired defense they could keep UConn under 80. Something like 85-45 for the final score." 

I was close with my prediction with the first game. I can't imagine this game any closer. It's Senior Night, always an emotional game where they start out slow. I'm saying they buck that trend and get out to a strong start. It won't be close.

UConn by 40+.

GO UCONN!!!

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