Sunday, March 28, 2021

Doggy's Doghouse 3/28/2021

 







 








                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

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NCAA rules cut Geno off early so he did another interview later. 



 


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Congrats to Evina on her 1000th point!!


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Sunday's Games

Stanford 89 Missouri State 62 - Talk about being outclassed. Poor Missouri State lost by 27 and it didn't even feel that close. I know MSU had a good regular season record. 21-2 is pretty darn good. But mid-majors are mid-majors and Sunday the were shown how the big girls play. Stanford is good, but they got a real gift when Wright State caught Arkansas on a beat night and beat the Razorbacks setting up this mismatch of a game.  In spite of shooting 8-15 on threes, the Lady Bears were just no match. Especially with hot hot Stanford was from long range. The Cardinal were 15-32 from deep. This game is what a 1 seed should do with a mid-major.  

South Carolina 76 Georgia Tech 65 - This was a more competitive game than the Stanford MSU game. And it should be even though it was another 1 seed vs 5 seed. South Carolina pulled away in the third quarter and Georgia Tech just couldn't get over the hump. I guess it was a three point shooting day. GT was 6-12 and South Carolina was 8-14. Crazy. The great Aliyah Boston, candidate for major POY awards, was scoreless in the first half and ended the game with only 9 points and 5 rebounds. 

For these two games,  the four teams were 50.7% on threes. 37-73.  Insane. 

Louisville 60 Oregon 42 - Poor Oregon, early in the game their star freshman and starting point guard injured her ankle and was done for the game. Then in the third quarter, their starting power forward Sabally did the same thing and missed the rest of the game as well. They were just lost on offense in this game. They just couldn't get good shots. They were 2-18 on threes, and I'm not sure any weren't contested. I felt really bad for them. This just wasn't the team they were all year. Louisville was a one player show. Dana Evans finally broke out of her slump leading the Cardinals with 29 points. Yes, she scored 29, and the rest of the team scored 31.  It's going to be Cardinal vs Cardinals.

Maryland 61 Texas 64- Texas has been blown out of a couple of games this year losing to West Virginia 92-58 and Baylor 60-35 so a big Maryland win would not have been a surprise. And after the 9-0 start, it looked like Maryland would just run away with it. But Texas hung in there the entire game actually taking a 2 point lead after three quarters. The game went back and forth and Maryland had 2 point lead 59-57 with 1:32 remaining.  But Texas hit some clutch shots, Maryland missed theirs and then at the end Texas hit the free throws to put Maryland away. I'm so happy. I can't stand Maryland! What a huge upset.    

Overstatement of the night -  "Maryland's offense, one of the greatest of all time". Are you kidding me? 
       
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MERCADO REGION
 

HEMISFAIR REGION

Sweet Sixteen

 

Elite Eight

No. 1 South Carolina vs No. 6 Texas  Tuesday 7:00 ET ESPN


ALAMO REGION



Elite Eight

No. 1 Stanford vs No. 2 Louisville Tuesday 9:00 ET ESPN 



RIVER WALK REGION

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By David in Naples

The much anticipated match-up between Paige Bueckers and Caitlin Clark was not the main story line in yesterday's victory over Iowa. Both played well enough to fill the stat sheet, but neither dominated as predicted. Clark scored 21 points, but needed 21 shots and 4 free throws to do so. Overall, she was 7-21 or 33%. Her 5 assists were offset by 5 turnovers. The 3 rebounds were hardly critical. Most surprising, was her 4-12 from 3 point range. The other Iowa starters were a combined 8-14 or 57%.

Paige had 18 points on 18 shots and 2 free throws. But, she added 8 assists and 9 rebounds, with only 2 turnovers. Bueckers 2-6 from long range was offset by the other Huskies going 8-17 from deep. Clearly, Iowa needed a BIG game from Caitlin to win. UConn, on the other hand, had 30 assists on 40 baskets and out rebounded Iowa 42-25. One team was more balanced, with more depth and a better defense. Iowa missed scoring their season average by 14 points. UConn exceeded their average by 10 points.

Caitlin Clark is a very good player. But, she had a miserable 4th quarter with the game on the line. Consider:

1. Caitlin missed all 3 three point shots.
2. She made her only basket with 34 seconds left in the game.
3. She shot 1-5 in the last period.
4. Clark had 2 turnovers and 1 foul in those last 10 minutes. 

Paige was better in her 4th period. She made 2 three point shots, each time with the lead cut to nine. She had 2 offensive rebounds and only 1 turnover. After a tough shooting game, the two threes were especially nice. Paige's final line of 18, 9, 8 and only 2 turnovers in 37 minutes was not spectacular, but impressive anyway.

Go Huskies..!

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By Phil

More SEC "Bashing"

I generally like to take the high road, and leave the negatives to others. But I do have a couple of pet peeves, and I haven't fully managed to let them go. One of them is irritation that some SEC fans think their conference is God's gift to the basketball world, and media complicity in parroting that narrative. It might be easier to dismiss if it were simply noisy fans supporting their conference, that what fans do, and when it comes to supporting their conference or team, I need only look in the mirror to see an example. But my concern is that the hype has permeating the selection committee. I think that over the last couple decades, the SEC tends to get too many teams selected, and slotted too high, compared to some other conferences.
I think there may be some progress. 

I think the committee is slowly recognizing the bias, and making slow steps in addressing it. This year, despite media hype that the SEC is the best overall conference by far, the number of teams selected was 7, actually fewer than the ACC. I don't have an issue with a single team selected, as I sometimes have in the past. There were fans agitating for inclusion of teams like Mississippi, Mississippi State and even LSU, and the selection committee properly resisted those pressures. I do have some issues with seeding, and I'll get to that shortly.

The myth of SEC dominance wasn't invented form whole cloth. There was a time when the SEC conference was properly viewed as the top conference in the country. The problem is when fans, media and the selection committee acts like it is still true years after it is no longer true.
I'm a numbers guy so I'm not just going to spew words, I'm going to back them up with numbers. Wikipeda has an article about every conference tournament and every articles has a section showing results by conference. 

For example, 1996:

The selection committee has complete control over the number of teams selected, but little control over the results. If there is a bias, it will show up as a lower win percentage when a conference gets too many teams in. I picked 1996 as a year in which the SEC dominance was justified.Seven teams were selected, more than any other conference, but those teams won 76% of their games, more than any other conference, so they lived up to their billing.
Now look at subsequent years. There are two ways of assessing whther the selection committee is showing bias in favor of the SEC. Before mentioning them, keep in mind that in any given year, stuff happens, so you really need to look at a number of years to see a pattern. If the selection committee is picking too many SEC teams, you will see that show up in the winning percentage. They can pick an undeserving team, but that team will eventually have to win or go home. Over the years, the SEC winning percentage is rarely at the top.
The other metric is to look at upsets. If the committee picks the right teams (as they did this year), but seeds them too generously, that will show up as upsets.

Let's look at this year so far. Let's start with the positives (from the point of view of the conference).

South Carolina is doing well, and may end up winning the whole thing. But if that happens, it will be an individual team championship, not evidence that a conference is dominant. Oddly, the second best performance is Alabama. They were picked at a 7 seed, won their first game as expected, and lost their next game as expected.

Every other SEC team under-performed.

Arkansas laid an egg in their first game (which pains me, as a fan of the team). They lost to Wright State, one of the bigger upsets in Tournament history.
Georgia was a 3 seed and lost to a 6.
Kentucky was a 4 seed and lost to a 5.
Tennessee was a 3 seed and lost to a 6
Texas A&M was a 2 seed, with some arguing they really deserved a 1 seed. They escaped a close call to a 14 seed, escaped an even closer call to a 7 seed, then lost by 15 to a 3 seed.

Any one of these is happenstance. But 5 of the 6 teams out of the tournament lost to a weaker seed, strongly suggesting that they were seeded too high.

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