Saturday, January 6, 2024

Doggy's UConn/Georgetown Pregame Report

 



  No. 12 UConn Huskies                                     Georgetown Hoyas
   11-3 (3-0)                                                             12-2 (2-1) 

 Sunday, January 7th 2024
Time: 1:30 PM
 Entertainment and Sports Arena
Washington, DC  
TV: SNY 

Prior Meetings

GEORGETOWN | UCONN LEADS 52-6 
H: 26-2 | A: 20-4 | N: 6-0

Last Ten Games

02/27/10 #1 UConn 84, #11 Georgetown 62 Hartford, Conn. 
02/26/11 #1 UConn 52, #18 Georgetown 42 Washington, D.C. 
03/06/11 #1 UConn 59, #23 Georgetown 43 Hartford, Conn. 
03/27/11 #1 UConn 68, #23 Georgetown 63 Philadelphia, Pa. 
02/11/12 #3 UConn 80, # 14 Georgetown 38 Storrs, Conn. 
01/09/13 #3 UConn 75, Georgetown 48 Washington, D.C. 
01/23/21 #3 UConn 72, Georgetown 41 Storrs, Conn
01/15/23 #4 UConn 65, Georgetown 50 Hartford, Conn. 
02/11/23 #4 UConn 67, Georgetown 59 Washington, D.C. 
03/04/23 #9 UConn 69, Georgetown 39 Uncasville, Conn.

Comparative Team Statistics
(leader in bold)

                                                    UConn                                   Georgetown  

                                              83.6        PPG                            59.7
                                              61.6        Defensive PPG            49.6
                                              22.0        Scoring Margin           10.1
                                              51.0        Field Goal %               40.3
                                              36.6        Defensive FG%           33.4 
                                              38.7        Three Point %             27.0
                                              30.1        Defensive 3PT%         28.1
                                              72.2        Free Throw %             72.8
                                              38.4        Rebounds/game           37.5
                                                5.3        Rebounding Margin       4.6 
                                              19.1        Assists per game          12.8
                                              13.7        Turnover per game       14.8
                                                1.4        Assists/TO ratio              .9
                                                9.9        Steals per game             8.3
                                                3.8        Blocks per game            4.2
  

 UCONN 




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Georgetown





Georgetown Starters




 Game Analysis

These kinds of games, where UConn is playing one of the weaker teams in the conference, are always difficult to analyze. All I can do is lay out the stats and details. Not much analysis to explain. Their 12-2 record is very deceiving. They have a knack of winning close games against weak opponents. They love to Brown by 2 and beat Cal State Fullerton by 10, Kennesaw State by 2, DePaul by 4 and Butler by 5.   

The Hoyas are not a very good offensive team averaging  59.7 points per game, making only 4.7 threes per game. They have 179 assists on the season with 207 turnovers. They are shooting 40.3% from the field and 27% on threes. Not good. 

Their strength is their defense as they hold their opponents to 49.6 PPG and create 16.1 turnovers per game. They also average 8.3 steals per game, a very good number. 

Kelsey Ransom, a 5'10" senior guard, is Georgetown's best player. In 34.9 MPG she averages 15.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 2.5 steals. She is only shooting 28.2% on threes.  She leads the team in assists with 51 but she doesn't have a good assist/turnover ratio with 53 turnovers.  

Graceann Bennett is a 6'3" forward. She averages 9.1 points and 7.4 rebounds per game and is a solid player.  She is the Hoyas' best big and the only player shooting 54.8% from the field.  

Victoria Rivera, 6’0” Sophomore Guard, is averaging 6.4 PPG. She leads the team in taking three pointers and averages 1.6 per game while shooting the three at .272.

Arrial Jenkins, a 6'3" junior forward now starts.She averages 4.7 PPG and 3.1 RPG. 

Alex Cowan, a 5’7” Graduate Guard, is averaging 6.9 PPG and is second on team in assists and one of the few with a positive assist/turnover ratio. Alex is a very experienced college-level guard. She is second in MPG at 32.6.

The bench - 

Jada Claude, a 6' junior forward who averages 7.7 points and 5.7 rebounds per game. She is another transfer, this time from Morehead State where she was OVC all newcomer in her junior season. She had transferred from Duke where she didn't get much time in her career with the Blue Devils. 

Brianna Scott is a 6'4" Junior forward averaging 9 points and 6.4 rebounds and is the Hoyas best shot blocker. She will rotate with Bennett on the front line. 

Modesti McConnell is a 5'7" freshman guard. Her job is to give the two starting guards a few minutes rest each game. She only averages 1.5 PPG in 8 minutes. She might not even see time in this game. 

Strategy for Georgetown? Survival. With the talent discrepancy, they obviously have no shot at an upset. They just won't want to be embarrassed. The will be difficult for them to accomplish.  

Final Prediction

Georgetown is just way overmatched in this game. They are a poor shooting team going against a terrific defensive team. I can't see them scoring 50 points. UConn has settled in with the small lineup and they will give Georgetown fits with their pressure defense. The Huskies could approach 90 points. If the Hoyas can play inspired defense they could keep UConn under 80. Something like 85-45 for the final score. 

Full disclaimer, last year I thought the same thing and the first game was only a 15 point UConn win and the game where Fudd injured her knee, the second was very physical and the Huskies won by only 8 points. The Huskies did win by 30 in the Big East tournament game to end the Hoyas' season    

UConn by 40+.

GO UCONN!!!

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