Saturday, March 2, 2024

Doggy's Doghouse 3/3/2024

 






 

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GO UCONN!!!!!

The Boys and their Dogs - 
Under the UConn blanket!!


Only a weak fourth quarter with both Edwards and Paige on the bench kept the 23 point win from bring closer to my 30+ point prediction. 

The first half was as usual all Bueckers and Edwards. Paige outscored Providence 17-16 at the half. 

Once again it was the UConn defense that stood out. They held Providence to 3 points in the second quarter and 9 points in the third quarter. 

The fourth quarter got a little sloppy in regards to offensive play for UConn, but Geno was happy they were able to get some big minutes for the bench. 

The team is still struggling from the field. They can win the BE tournament this way but will need to shoot a lot better to go far in the NCAA tournament. I believe they can and will!!! But that's me, Mr. Optimist!!    

On the SNY pregame show, it was announced that Amari is in concussion protocol and did not make the trip to the game. So UConn had only 8 healthy players for last night's game.

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Rough Game

Bueckers hurts knee and 
scares the crap out of everyone

Nika hit in jaw as play gets reviewed

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Game Highlights

Geno Sideline Interview

Geno Postgame Interview

Ashland Shade and KK Arnold 
Postgame Interview 

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ADDISON BJORN CLASS OF 2026
Player of Interest 

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UConn incoming Freshman Allie Ziebell with 31 points to lead Neenah over nemesis Hortonville and into the state tourney.

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Straight from the Dog


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Fun HORSE game with Caleb and Paige

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What a collapse by the Colorado Buffalos to close out the season.  They started the season at 15-1, beating LSU to open the season and then only losing to NC State and ending that streak with a win over Stanford.

Since that win, Colorado lost 2 of 3 and then went on a nice 4 game winning streak. Still 20-3 and 10-2 in the conference the season was still looking good. Then the bottom fell out.

They has now lost 5 of their last 6 games to fall to 21-8 and 11-7 in the Pac12. At one point they were in SECreme's bracketology at a 1 seed. They will be out of the Top 16 after losing to unranked Washington State in their latest effort.  

Quite the fall for the Buffaloes.      

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By PHIL

Shooting efficiency

It is quite understandable that Caitlin Clark is getting a lot of well-deserved press for breaking multiple records.

It has been observed by some that her high-scoring games often include many attempts, while Paige often scores almost as many points with far fewer attempts.

I thought it would be interesting to try to look at this a little bit more formally.

There is a stat called true shooting percentage. It makes the obvious adjustment that hitting a three is more valuable than hitting a two. It also makes an adjustment for free throws that’s not quite as obvious.

The formula is:

points divided by 2 ( FGA plus (0.44 x FTA))

(The factor of 0.44 reflects the fact that there are some free-throw attempts not associated with field-goal attempts such as technical fouls. Someone in the NBA looked at aggregate stats for the season and came up with this factor. I haven’t looked into it but as long as I use the same factor for everybody it should come up with a single metric that will be higher for more efficient players and lower for less efficient players.)

My analysis started with all the games this year in which a player scored 40 or more points. That happened 18 times.

I also selected three of Paige’s games.

The following table has the data for all of these games sorted by true shooting percentage.


As you can see from this table Mikaylah Williams had an incredible game against Kent State with a 91% true shooting percentage.

In an interesting coincidence, the second-best entry on the list is also against Kent State, where Sophia Wiard of Toledo had an 86.4% true shooting percentage.

Paige comes in at third on this list (please note I’m not suggesting she had the third-best true shooting percentage in the country this year there almost certainly are players who hit all of their shots in some game which will give a higher percentage).

Paige went 11 for 15 from the field hitting all of her free throws for a true shooting percentage of 85.7%.

Note that her second-best game, the game against Seton Hall and her third-best game the game against DePaul all had higher true shooting percentages than any of Caitlin Clark’s games.

It’s also notable that Caitlin Clark’s best game in this list isn’t even the best game for an Iowa player. Hannah Stuelke had an impressive game against Penn State hitting 17 for 20 from the field, resulting in a true shooting percentage of 80.4%.

This is not to disparage Clark’s impressive abilities, just to put it in perspective. She scores a ton of points, but she takes a lot of shots to get those points.

It’s not even obvious that a higher true shooting percentage is always better. If someone goes five for five, scores 10 points and has a true shooting percentage of 100%, that’s pretty darn good but not better than someone who scores 30 points while taking more shots.

It’s also interesting to note Juju Watkins in 10th and 11th place on this list. Both of those not quite as good in terms of true shooting percentage as Paige’s best two games but better than all four of Clark’s games.


Milestone Watch

• Aaliyah Edwards reached 1754 career points with her 13 points in the Providence game. She is in sole possession of 18th place. She now needs 43 points to catch Stefanie Dolson.

• Aaliyah Edwards now has 973 rebounds with 7 against Providence. She now needs 34 to catch Gabby Williams in 8th place.

• Nika Mühl had 625 assists after her 7 assists in the Providence game. She is in 5th place and needs 17 more to tie Renee Montgomery.

• Geno now has 1206 wins.

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SPIDER STATS
 
Plus one for every assist block point rebound and steal. I don’t add extra for offensive rebounds as it already seems to favor the bigs. Minus one for every missed shot (2, 3 or foul), turnover or foul committed.

UConn 76, Providence 20.

Net positives/minutes played: Aaliyah 17/23, KK 16/34, Nika 14/34, Paige 10/22, Ashlynn 9/35, Ice 8/20, Qadence -2/17, Ines -3/15.

Deceiving- Paige dominated first half. KK coming on, last four games 1, 8, 10, 16. 

Go UConn, beat providence or butler!

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UCONN LINKS

Several links are pay sites. Sorry!

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